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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    You can appreciate the fact that a call for a SSW was correct, while also acknowledging that it did not result in a severe winter in the ne US.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is a difference between not understanding, and just not caring if there are little in the way of sensible results.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    LOL I reminded him of that on twitter Monday AM, and I think he really got spooked
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    We may need to break this out in about ten days.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Tenth and tenths of inches.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    +.5" 18.5" on the season.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Harvey. OES is what I mean by CJ.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Norwell already has an inch....maybe bit of CJ assist?
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Everything is coated here....steady S-
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, no one except Tom saw that PNA in Dec coming....that destroyed my national Dec temp forecast....like 180 opposite lol It still worked out locally bc I hit on the NAO.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I buy interludes of PNA in the second half....always expected that. I think the atlantic and AK area are larger questions.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    My guess is that if February breaks well for us, it will be a PNA working in conjunction with a protracted NAO due to a very successful and fully propagated SSW.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    In terms of a spark plug, yes....but the NAO helps to lock in the cold and ensure a favorable track.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well stated.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes. Like I said yesterday, there is certainly value to be garnered from your forecast, regardless of the precise sensible outcome.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I meant in the hypothetical sense that you are indeed simply calling for a January 2011 caliber HECS, as Luke stated. I think you have an outside shot at that type of period....lets see what happens. I'm still betting against it, but a HECS would not shock me given the modeled pattern.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sunday Night-Monday nuisance snows were ultimately well forecast, despite the initial head-fake of more significant potential. General Trace to 2" verified well, with the "higher" totals to the SW of Boston. However, I would have been better served to go with a 2-4" range in the berkshires and NW CT, as opposed to the 1-3".....as there were some 4" reports in the NW CT hill towns. Final Grade: A- https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/01/sunday-night-monday-nuisance.html
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    My Narcan maps will be out soon enough.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, no argument from me there. That is the period to watch.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not a large leap of faith, at this point lol
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not sure why one wouldn't simply call for HECS within a specified time window, rather than analog one of the most prolific months in local lore if that is what is trying to be conveyed. A Jan 2011 call is more than one event in my mind.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Okay...that is doable. When I hear Jan 2011...I think 50" monthly total and 30" snowpack w ice Jams. One HECS? I can see that in this pattern.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Apparently...
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