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My dog is outside barking, so I go outside to get him and am surprised to see a flash of lightning to my NW! Does anyone have flurries or anything?

Already down to 26° here. Everything frozen. Should be glacial in the morning.

back in my day, folks would've been banned for this lol

if i see fantasy blue over my house, i call it a hit. i have no standards lol. the GFS is a hit in my book

We may have different definitions of "teeing up a hit". The h5 is way too large and not amplified.

our goat is washed :(

Block broke down. HP runs away and low tracks west. No coastal redevelopment in that scenario. We got a few more runs to go.

GFS teeing another hit up. Thermals TBD

I don't like that +EPO

Ji is having mocktails with the real housewives of Leesburg.

Enter the cooler

Agree, turned out ugly, but many different solutions coming. Trackable stuff

Cmon Ji think about it this way, we just gained over an inch of rain in one run!

Stafford was not good, very shocking…lots of money lost tonight

Ngl, it’s like of awesome being on west coast time. 845 here and the gfs is almost done. Looked more like a workable front end App runner than a cutter.

So Dec 2025 will be the most negative NAO Winter month (DJFM) since December 2010! 15 years, and 60 Winter months! With the 1st half of January looking like -NAO, we may beat the record for most -NAO Winter since 2010-2011. We need -0.24 for the Winter average to have that, and through Jan 15, we will have about -1.00, meaning that we need <+0.50 for the 2nd half of Winter to have the most -NAO Winter in 15 years! Nice longer term pattern brake.

I suppose. Just watched the Falcons beat the Rams. Didn't see that coming. Stafford has been so good but not tonight.

Unfortunately, the Pacific 500mb doesn't change into a favorable state until mid month. (Unless models are wrong of course)

southern stream wave is just too quick for the phase on the CMC.

Had tequila the other night and, while I appreciate the fact that it gave me zero hangover, bourbon is still the goat imo.

Nothing else going on

Real talk though, not a good outcome verbatim but there’s probably gonna be a monster storm affecting the eastern 1/3 of the US on or around the 8th. It’s all you can ask for 10 days out.

Y'all actually doing pbp on GFS op run 10 days out? lol

Nothing crazy good, just Bulleit. Decent bang for the buck and something I can actually drink straight without spending big bucks.