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92/72. Ooph. What a change feom 24hrs ago. Sweat shop Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

MHT 95°

And the white baby powder to prevent chaffing all over the jeans like a powdered donut dropped on his lap.

S NH on fire

We might trade a couple of degrees for dews here with the S flow. I'm thinking 95 for a high, currently 90.

“Ray” I just keep wipin’ and wipin’.. and I just can’t get it all

Wonder how Ray is doing with his black Bugle Boy jeans?

I’ve used 2 full rolls already today

Let's shoot for 45

So far all the 12z models have sparred us from any rain on Sunday. Saturday and Monday are both wild cards but it would be nice to have at least one day without rain lol

Day 4 of 90 this season and it’s Mayorch 19

Hopefully one of many

can really see where this makes a difference in +/- precip anomalies. With a traditional Nino look and more suppressed convection in the W pac on the EPS, you get the typical deep +precip anoms in the traditional Nino southern stream belt in the SE with -anoms in NE. whereas the GEFS, with its lingering convection in the W pac, has a more muted precip signal.

Don't miss working in this at all. 93 at noon

Congrats CT!

Watch out for tblizz in the trees

The EPS appears to be modeling less lingering convection in the west pac vs. the GEFS and CMCE.

I think you might be conflating with your alternate life fantasy here -

I have to agree with this. Perhaps there is some sort of relationship with how EL Nino's evolve during the summer and what we experience during the summer in terms of big heat or not, but strong(er) EL Nino events don't really become mature until we're in the dead of summer or even back half of summer. If anything, I would think the correlation would start showing as we moved into Fall

I bet ORH pops 90 they're 88 for now but there's literally 0 inhibition to maximizing this bad boy today. 95 here... one more ob before noon proper

It’s raging and hard.. it’s iron clad

I also saw a tweet that mid/long range forecast accuracy has increased dramatically over the last couple weeks as expected as we begin to move out of meteorological spring.

Problem with that idea is that the NINO is not a raging hard one yet. It's formulating... Now ...maybe that's enough? I don't know. But having the NINO in place, already registering an influence in the atmosphere, which this isn't ...yet, is a different animal.

NAM seems to be delaying the front by 3 or so hours over priors...that might make the difference for HFD-LWM axis/E

Any met want to weigh in on if Spruce Knob WV should be clear enough to stargaze tonight? Seems like it’s my last day to do so for a while.