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Montauk reported 80.6 mph

Tide levels are following tidal predictions nearly to the dot

Over 15k without power.. Winds are now nearly 50 mphs gusting and just got woke up to thunder. Tides tides are really really bad . Lol at how low the water got high tides in 4 hours ... massive costal flooding incoming people!

I woke up and was in surprised to see you. Hoping we didn't lose power tonight, but other than that, a pretty interesting little storm. Do you think this will be a pattern we'll see as we head into Winter?

Wouldn’t be surprised to see high wind warning criteria be met in a lot of spots, already gust 45-50 all over

Had loud thunder about an hour ago. ISP gusted to 54mph

61 mph gust recorded at Republic airport in Farmingdale Long Island

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 342 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... * Increased/darkened the sky cover grids across the board for the next 60 hrs * Increased winds and gusts slightly, especially over the east today and Sunday && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Nor`easter will bring gusty winds and periods of rain for the first weekend of Fall && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1: Nor`easter will bring gusty winds and periods of rain for the first weekend of Fall Big storm will tuck itself between Long Island and NJ for the weekend. It will deepen to about 990mb depending on your numerical model/ensemble member of choice. At least one solution has the sfc low getting as far W as the Delaware River. Most keep the western extent of it`s wobbly track around the Jersey Shore. The wind already made a gust near 30KT at Wellsboro (KN38) around midnight and VAD Wind Profile from KCCX has 50KT winds not even 4kft aloft. KPHL has just gusted to 40KT (which is wind advy level). We may have to consider a wind advy, but current and previous thinking is that most gusts should stay in the 30s over our CWA. Lancaster, Lebanon, Schuylkill and Sullivan Counties are the most-possible locations to get a 40+KT gust. The gradient stays similar in tightness from mid-day today through Sunday evening. Very light rainfall has already begun at PHL, and will work back to the west through the day. Expect some drops to hit the ground before 10 AM, and perhaps before 8 AM, in Lancaster Co. QPF is minor. The highest rainfall will be later tonight and through the day Sunday. Storm total numbers range from near 1" in New Holland and Dushore to less than a tenth of an inch from State College west. As the nor`easter lifts to the northeast later Monday, conditions should steadily improve with temperatures poised to rebound above the historical average for the end of September. && .AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Prevailing VFR flight cats through the night with increasing high to mid level clouds from southeast to northwest. Localized vis restrictions may occur in valley fog later tonight, but the probability of prolonged restrictions at any TAF sites is too low to include in the forecast. LLWS is expected throughout the ZNY airspace tonight as a 45-60 knot low level jet moves into the area on the west-side of a powerful Nor`easter. Surface winds increase to 10-15 knots out of the northeast after sunrise and gusts of 25-30 knots are expected for much of the day. The highest gusts will occur at southeastern sites. Light rain will approach MDT and LNS during the afternoon, but the rest of the region should remain dry into the the first part of Saturday night. A strong low-level jet will remain in place over much of Central PA through much of Saturday night, but the strongest winds may remain just above 2000 feet for most locations. Because of this, LLWS has been kept out of most of the TAFs. After a break in the rain during the evening, another round of steady rain moves in from the east as the surface low moves closer to the region. The biggest uncertainty in the forecast is just how far west this rain makes it during the day on Sunday. Ceilings should gradually drop to MVFR at MDT and LNS as the steadier rain moves in. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=CTP&issuedby=CTP&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

FRG at 53 knots. Maybe OKX will issue the high wind warning now?

Polo is undergoing an EWRC. The inner eye is shrinking rapidly. The concentric outer eyewall appears to be taking off, and convection remains intense. Though, due to the chaotic nature of these processes, it's futile to try and forecast how fast these will complete and the larger eye clear out entirely, but this one may not take very long. I am basing this on the intensity of convection that persists and the symmetrical structure of the CDO. Once the outer eyewall is fully dominant, it shouldn't take long for sinking airmass to suppress remnant convection of the old and clear it out. SSTs are still very warm, though OHC at depth is decreasing. Polo's motion seems fast enough that upwelling shouldn't be much of an issue for now. SSTs do drop off in the forecast when Polo is moving poleward, which will bring down intensity regardless. Southwesterly shear should also begin to increase, which may help get some drier airmass into the core and put an end to its many hours of Cat 5/upper Cat 4 durations of intensity. Polo may be able to maintain Cat 3 status into the Baja Peninsula. We are still several days away from that, however.

Analysis recorded the center at 987mb as of 06Z today.

6z Nam would be fun

Winds are cranking and no HWW smh .

upton lowered rain totals for 2-3 inches for the city when earlier it was 3-5 inches..

Bone dry here in upper Manhattan.

Maybe it’s just because there’s still so many leaves but it sounds like the wind is overperforming out there… wish I had an anemometer. Trenton airport has gusted over 40 several times overnight though which is pretty impressive this far inland especially since it’s not the peak. Saw some impressive gusts at the shore too think the highest I saw was 77 mph.

Another item, MQE ended up w/ 5.76" of rain for the Perfect Storm in 1991, far more than any model showed. Of course, no hires models then, but what the ECMWF is showing does makes sense when you have extended duration big ENE fetch moist flow.

But give it some "TYME!!!" It has lots of it to meander "down there."

What about 99 bottles of BEER on the wall?

LFG!!