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40/70 Benchmark

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About 40/70 Benchmark

  • Birthday 11/16/1980

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Chuck, I think I do recall some blocking during 2023-2024 now.....I remember Chris going on about how the se ridge was adjoining the NAO blocks that season, which is what killed us....likely a byproduct of the cool ENSO residue that persisted that season (RONI lagging ONI).
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just harkens back to my point about the monthly tabular readings not providing an accurate portray all of the time.....you need to view the dailies because there were significant -WPO intervals this season, which is why it was so cold with more snow.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I understand that, but I simply didn't recall them...probably because they were useless.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I felt like it did, too, so the monthly numbers are incorrect?
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    It doesn't make sense to me, either...but those are the numbers.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://psl.noaa.gov/data/correlation/wp.data
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    2023 had an early late November/early December reversal??
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ahhh...okay, thanks. This makes more sense, then. Chris is probably right.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Interesting....the other two early reversals were 1981 and 1968...the latter featured strong blocking throughout the season and the former had a blocky January.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    @bluewave I was stunned to see that this past season actually averaged +WPO (.44 DJFM)...I would have bet my life that it was -WPO, but only March was. December, January and February were marginally +WPO, but essentially neutral. Now I feel better about my previous work connecting +WPO to the more active jet, as this makes more sense. We had more variability this season, which is why it wasn't strongly positive like previous years in recent memory...this allowed for the cold, but the +WPO in the mean continued to correlate to a more active jet, which is likely why we only saw one major coastal. The big January event was a huge SWFE.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have learned the hard way to not mock alternative viewpoints. I know I teased Chuck about the Cool ENSO following strong El Nino push back, but that was just because the data is supportive of it right now. He could ultimately be right, but we will need to confirm that posthumously...hence my sarcasm.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, everything was initially "bunk", until it wasn't. I have no issue with it, as long the presenter is transparent about it. He admitted it's a pioneer concept, but that doesn't necessarily mean that it's incorrect.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    All ribbing aside, I love the fact that you think outside of the box...I think that is necessary because if the "inner box" conceptualizations were working, we would have gleaned a modicum of skill with the seasonal forecasting arena.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    So it sounds pretty frontier and skeptical....but I am open to it.
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