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On 9/29/2026 at 11:04 AM, EastonSN+ said:

Please see here (link below). This is a rain track for us as it was inland for the majority of the storm. The noreaster we just had was off shore for the majority of the event.

https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/dec-11-12-1992

 

 

Note where the loop happened offshore that was the meat of the storm not the beginning part which was over land. This most recent much less intense storm retrograde right into central NJ which is why it would be rain in winter. You need a Benchmark track for snow at the coast.  This was a hugger. 

Storm surge with December 1992 was 10.5 feet with this storm it was 3.5 feet.

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September is finishing with a mean temperature of 68.4° in New York City. That is 0.8° below normal (0.4° above the older 1981-2010 baseline).

Tomorrow and Friday will be unseasonably warm days to mark the start of October. Highs will reach the upper 70s and lower 80s across the region.

It will turn somewhat cooler during the weekend and a strong cold front will likely move across the region Sunday or Sunday night.
 
The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.1°C for the week centered around September 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.40°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.83°C. Both ENSO regions have set new all-time records. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. 

The SOI was -10.52 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.423 today. 

 

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