Winter 26-27’ Speculation Thread

[jaxjagman]

Least we are starting to see the the PDO changing for that matter as well so is the IOD,IOD should be warmer in a strong NINO

[Matthew70]

On 10/6/2026 at 3:45 PM, Carvers Gap said:

Sorry for the long pause.  My mom passed away last week after a long illness.  She fought the good fight, and ran a great race.  She bought me my first weather radio when I was a kid.  So, just kind of regrouping mentally.

Both the Oct CANSIPS and Euro seasonals are depicting a DJF(March as well) Hudson Bay block.  That block can really go either way here in the subforum.  Some winters that locks in a pretty cold pattern, and other times(as Jeff has note), we see zonal result.  That is a tricky, trick block.  It is great for storm tracks, but iffy for cold supply.

BN heights are found over the SE for DJFM w/ deepening results found in February.  Classic El Nino.  That could be snowy and cold, rainy and meh, or a combo of both.  Cold sources could be lacking in Canada.

Carver.  Very sorry for your loss. 

[Golf757075]

I hope we don't have a big strong low in the Pacific, which is typical in stronger Niños. Hoping its further west to allow occasional cold shots to come south. The -PDO is interesting if it persists, because typically its in sync with Niños. Also, the climate models are just tools. I know most take them with a grain of salt, but am hoping its colder here than they currently indicate. El niños haven't been too kind to us lately, but niñas have done better imo.

[Mr Bob]

On 10/6/2026 at 4:45 PM, Carvers Gap said:

Sorry for the long pause.  My mom passed away last week after a long illness.  She fought the good fight, and ran a great race.  She bought me my first weather radio when I was a kid.  So, just kind of regrouping mentally.

Both the Oct CANSIPS and Euro seasonals are depicting a DJF(March as well) Hudson Bay block.  That block can really go either way here in the subforum.  Some winters that locks in a pretty cold pattern, and other times(as Jeff has note), we see zonal result.  That is a tricky, trick block.  It is great for storm tracks, but iffy for cold supply.

BN heights are found over the SE for DJFM w/ deepening results found in February.  Classic El Nino.  That could be snowy and cold, rainy and meh, or a combo of both.  Cold sources could be lacking in Canada.

I have been out of town for the last week....I am sorry to hear this, Carver...my condolences to you and your family. 

[KakashiHatake2000]

https://snow.wall.cloud/?cwa=MEG&view=overview&signal=PNA&outcome=occurrence

https://snow.wall.cloud/?cwa=OHX&view=overview&signal=PNA&outcome=occurrence

https://snow.wall.cloud/?cwa=HUN&view=overview&signal=PNA&outcome=occurrence

https://snow.wall.cloud/?cwa=MRX&view=overview&signal=PNA&outcome=occurrence

Thought I would repost dr Johnathan wall snow signal cwa forcast since it’s available now for Meg ohx and hun also the majority of the cwa 157 at the moment all across the conus


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