March Madness

[vortex95]

On 3/23/2026 at 8:32 PM, dendrite said:

Glad you have thick skin…we bust each other all of the time here. Usually it’s nothing personal. Wolfie loves his CO2 emissions and cold posts so he is fun to razz. 

Social media we all know can be a wicked minefield.  It's the nature of the beast.  As long as you understand that, it is much easier to handle it all.  Still, it is so easy for things to be taken out of context or one's tone misinterpreted.  The pitfalls of social media.  You lose a lot in translation not being face-to-face talking or the like!

Etiquette is important, and also not to knee-jerk react to anything you may not like or offends you, but that is NOT easy!  We all fall into that trap for just about anything one time or another.  And I dislike it b/c it distracts me from enjoying the topic at hand.  I say to myself often, "I liked it so much better when we could all enjoy and weenie out about the wx w/o fostering blame, pushing messaging, or seeing non-wx ppl/the public freak out/worried sick about the world ending!  Can't we just enjoy wx for what it is?   It is amazing and fascinating in its own right.   That is more than enough to keep us busy and engaged!"

It not always about being self-righteous or correct on social media, just, and we know this well being wx weenies, is that so often we see stuff posted all over the place, and we *know* it is factually wrong.  Such as wx history and the media buzzword 'unprecedented" said far too often b/c it sounds dramatic and sells.  And lame derivatives like "almost unprecedented" - yes, I have actually seen that.  Stupid, either it has happened before or not.  How about say, "rare" instead!  LOL.  This is what gets me more and more, how things are worded and communicated.  It's not about being pedantic, despite being precise and accurate is important in many sciences, just I feel for those (the public) who don't know any better, and get duped easily.  And a lot of up and coming mets/wx enthusiasts get the wrong idea about things.

So I don't mind heated discussion or debate, as long as it is kept civil.  I am known for sometimes getting on a high-horse, and then I have to scale it back.  I can't tell you how many times I have written something up quickly on social media n response to something that got under my skin, finish it, then re-read, and then I go "nah, not worth it!" and delete, or edit it down to make it less verbose and pedantic.

[vortex95]

Saw this post the other day:

 

"Numerical weather models are projecting huge westerly wind burst signal over the west Central Pacific over the next few weeks, some AI models are projecting signals that would achieve near record intensity.  

 

The westerly wind burst projected is as zonally and meridionally broad as any historical event I recall, and becomes better centered on the equator than the comparable event of March 1997. 

 

Oh boy, March 1997 comparable?  1997-98 was a super El Nino!  And 2015-16 was a super one as well.  So was 1982-83.  So for next winter here?

Right away, CoastalWx will go, "IT WILL BLOW b/c it is too warm!  Any snow that falls will not stick around!"  LOL.

Well, it is not all lost, all three of those super El Nino years, we go something good in SNE.  Feb 1983 and 2016 E Coast biggies and the "surprise" event 12/23/97 (SNOINCR 8 at Ayer MA).  Also, the nasty ZR event NNE and sern Quebec Jan 1998.

And the only decent cold shots in such winters are in the NEUS, while the rest of the country is a furnace!

 

[kdxken]

What the hell happened to the rain? Less than a 10th of an inch.