2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino

[michsnowfreak]

1 hour ago, roardog said:

So we have a model temperature forecast for 7 months into the future and it's against an 1880-1920 mean. lol

They dig and dig to find this stuff lol.

[michsnowfreak]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This is in no way 2009-2010...not remotely relevant. You have brought that up a couple of times...it's moot. It was much weaker and the warmth was relegated to the western flank...not to mention we had just passed solar min with a neg QBO.

I would never count on a "good" winter in a strong nino. But I also wouldn't just assume that the stronger the nino the worse the winter will be. There are other pieces of the puzzle besides enso.

[A-L-E-K]

2 hours ago, forkyfork said:

can we have a separate thread for winter talk?

still coping with the winter cancel

[forkyfork]

Just now, A-L-E-K said:

still coping with the winter cancel

my area is currently in its hottest developing nino may heat wave on record

[Maestrobjwa]

2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This is in no way 2009-2010...not remotely relevant. You have brought that up a couple of times...it's moot. It was much weaker and the warmth was relegated to the western flank...not to mention we had just passed solar min with a neg QBO.

Whereas the warmth this time around looks to setup where? (Or is it too early to tell) Trying to know if I shoild expect a 72-73/97-98 torch or not, lol

[GaWx]

6 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Whereas the warmth this time around looks to setup where? (Or is it too early to tell) Trying to know if I shoild expect a 72-73/97-98 torch or not, lol

 I’ve got the solution. If you want to minimize the chance for a warmer than normal winter where you live, just move down south and your chances will fall substantially!