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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino


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Comparing Oct 1st with Oct 29th, neither 3.4 nor 1+2 have changed much:

IMG_3225.thumb.png.d8f3ed8408131cf1da34f031ea8cb712.png
 

IMG_3226.thumb.png.6a9e75ca260697c396d5611ad0d3f98c.png

 

But Nino 3 has had a steady rise:

IMG_3227.thumb.png.71b81ac72fbd394be5cb23ce8bd1915c.png


Nino 4 ended up ~same but that’s because after a 1st half drop it had a sharp rise last 5 days:

IMG_3228.thumb.png.f1256de82a35ee1c0fa42d531a51f7a5.png

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More like the 97 Nino than anything,by far the Eastern Pac  into the thernocline is nothing comparable right now,you wont find much of a analog and i still would not use 2015,nothing close.While these maps are still Dec,it shouldnt change unelss the MJO just sits the whole month of Nov into the IO,which would be rare in a strong Ninio

Climate-Prediction-Center-Monitoring-and-Data-Equatorial-Pacific-Temperature-Depth-Anomaly-Animation-10-30-2026_07_49_PM (1).png

The-2015-2016-El-Niño-Event-in-Context-of-the-MERRA-2-Reanalysis-A-Comparison-of-the-Tropical-Pacific-with-1982-1983-and-1997-1998-PMC-10-30-2026_12_15_PM.png

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