40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 11 hours ago, raindancewx said: September finished quite similarly to a blend of the past four El Nino Septembers (2015, 2018, 2019, 2023) nationally. God, I hope that grouping fails spectacularly moving forward....I'd just assume drive out to the desert's of Albuquerque and shot-gun a cactus than experience anything akin to the past four El Niño events during this coming season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago October is not ending up like 2018, 2019, 2023.. They were cold in the Rockies and Midwest. Looks like opposite pattern is setting up this Oct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 38 minutes ago Share Posted 38 minutes ago 21 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: October is not ending up like 2018, 2019, 2023.. They were cold in the Rockies and Midwest. Looks like opposite pattern is setting up this Oct Ensembles continue with the +NAO too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 20 minutes ago Share Posted 20 minutes ago 17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: God, I hope that grouping fails spectacularly moving forward....I'd just assume drive out to the desert's of Albuquerque and shot-gun a cactus than experience anything akin to the past four El Niño events during this coming season. -2023 isn't a great analog because 1. its RONI peak of +1.4 pales in comparison to where 26 is headed and even where it already is 2. It was much less E based (cross between E based & basinwide) than 26 is progged to be 3. The only similarly strongly -PDO of any Niño of the last 150 years was 1951-2 and it’s RONI peaked at only +1.0 ————— -2019 is hardly an analog because it wasn’t even El Niño as it peaked at only +0.3 and was W based ——— -2018 isn’t a good analog because it peaked at only +0.8 and was slightly W based ———— -2015 is the only of these that’s a good analog but it was pretty much basin-wide, not E based https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/cmb/ersst/v5/v6/index/ersst.v6.pdo.dat https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso/roni/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 7 minutes ago Share Posted 7 minutes ago 30 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Ensembles continue with the +NAO too. Weeklies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 1 minute ago Share Posted 1 minute ago 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Weeklies? Today’s aren't out yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now