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18 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

The only time we got wet was the Nor'easter in the closing days of April, which brought a lot of rain the weekend of the 28th-30th. Other than that, late winter and spring 2023 was dry, with May being the driest on record. Late June and early July is when it got wet.

I remember models were showing a lot of moisture, for several weeks. Maybe it didn't pan out. I'm also talking about for the whole US. 

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5 hours ago, dmillz25 said:

What are your thoughts thus far about where this niño could be headed? Basin wide strong seems like it could be in the works but obviously its still too early to know

IMO this is going to be a high-end strong El Niño at minimum with the chances of a super event growing very quickly

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The “triplet” TC’s on both sides of the hemisphere is happening. They are starting to form. This is going to spark off yet another massive WWB and DWKW. The models are also doubling down on westerlies taking over in the ENSO regions later on this month. This is already starting to look like it’s going to be a record-breaking tropical storm/typhoon season in the PAC….
 

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2 hours ago, snowman19 said:

The “triplet” TC’s on both sides of the hemisphere is happening. They are starting to form. This is going to spark off yet another massive WWB and DWKW. The models are also doubling down on westerlies taking over in the ENSO regions later on this month. This is already starting to look like it’s going to be a record-breaking tropical storm/typhoon season in the PAC….
 

Which models show westerlies "taking over" Enso regions? I ask because after the pending trades and westerly burst, Cfs2 brings back the trades starting around the last week in May. 

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There was a WB back into 2023 around the same time from a Rossby Wave.There was also another RW in Mid May

JAMSTEC Mean shows the DMI rising into fall almost to +1.5 ATM,but  when the DMI rises like this ,this is typical the norm you see more or less  NINA the following year,least it's been like this the last several decades

Tropical-Monitoring-North-Carolina-Institute-for-Climate-Studies-04-04-2026_03_12_PM (1).png

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