Daniel Boone Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 12 hours ago, WintryMixmaster said: My first thought when I saw the snow hole was that maybe the high res models were overdoing some terrain effect... I didn't realize you were on the Virginia side of the Cumberland Gap, maybe the model just creates some super downslope effect in that area to try and more accurately match the erroneous snowfall totals in that area? I didn't realize the models got fed previous local snowfall data for future forecasts but it makes sense that if the models consistently busted high with respect to the erroneous data, someone would try and tweak the geography or something in the model to make it "more" (though in this case less lol) accurate for that location The Model Ingest System uses Data from "Official Weather Station's" (Airports, NWS Coop Station's etc) and NWS Certified Observers. The NWS also uses Cocorahs Data. I don't know if it's implemented directly into the System or not. Should be. Recording and Incorporating all this Data is how the Model's should get better over Time. The Model's also incorporate Weather Baloon, Atmospheric Sensor Data etc.. There is downsloping that occurs, particularly from off the Mountains along the KY Border. Model's do overemphasize that sometimes. It doesn't affect exteme Northern Lee much as it sits on a Plateau that runs on across the Norton and Wise area in Wise County. The main thing that is affecting the Model's irt Lee County is the Official Pennington gap Station. It is the only Official NWS Station in the County. It is at the Sewer Plant along the Powell River, Operated by Town Employees. I have checked out the Site personally and found notable flaws that affect accuracy greatly. It is not manned 24/7. Just Day Shift. I'll hopefully get over there before long and get a Couple of Pics and post. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Currently snowing and 32 degrees. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12z suite gonna make us track a system from 10 days out?! Just 40 more runs to go! LOL 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 46 minutes ago, John1122 said: Currently snowing and 32 degrees. No way, not there, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 54 minutes ago Share Posted 54 minutes ago It's 33 and thick drizzle in town. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 25 minutes ago Share Posted 25 minutes ago Now snowing in town. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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