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1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread

AMZ8990

By AMZ8990,
in Tennessee Valley

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Holston_River_Rambler
Holston_River_Rambler

My current take: The players:   The setting: the game: All in motion on the Euro       Comparison:   Euro trend:

Reb
Reb
John1122
John1122

I feel like this is a trap. I'm having 2017 ptsd from when the Euro showed 30 inches imby 48 hours out, and I ended up with two inches. 

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Matthew70

Matthew70

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21z H-triple-R showing forecast for midnight Saturday night.  As for Nashville, we should be seeing a mix of sleet...freezing rain at that time that continues through the overnight into Sunday. QPF amounts are at least 1 inch through Sunday morning, and i'm being conservative. Let's pray that much of it is in the form of sleet. If it's ice accretion or even a good part, we'll have major issues here in Nashville and surrounding areas. Heavier ice accretion looks be over southwest Middle Tennessee. .     Boyd 

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Tucker1027

Tucker1027

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It looks like it has gotten more intense this run; if that image verifies, lord have mercy...

Yep and that’s going over areas that will get over .50 of ice…

Sometimes you have to look at a model and just say that doesn’t look right. EURO hasn’t looked right to me.


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Greyhound

Greyhound

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Speaking of the hurricane hunters data now contained in the models…….I don’t remember where I saw this, but it said that GFS would incorporate the data from the dropsondes, and that the data would be made available to the other global programs. , and it would be up to them if they wanted to include it in their model runs. Maybe…..just maybe Euro said “no thanks” and that’s why it’s sticking to the same solutions over and over???

Somebody please correct me if I’m wrong or have additional insight.


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Tucker1027

Tucker1027

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Speaking of the hurricane hunters data now contained in the models…….I don’t remember where I saw this, but it said that GFS would incorporate the data from the dropsondes, and that the data would be made available to the other global programs. , and it would be up to them if they wanted to include it in their model runs. Maybe…..just maybe Euro said “no thanks” and that’s why it’s sticking to the same solutions over and over???

Somebody please correct me if I’m wrong or have additional insight.


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Europe does have every reason to stick it to us from their view point

* not political


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housemtnTN

housemtnTN

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10 minutes ago, Greyhound said:

Speaking of the hurricane hunters data now contained in the models…….I don’t remember where I saw this, but it said that GFS would incorporate the data from the dropsondes, and that the data would be made available to the other global programs. , and it would be up to them if they wanted to include it in their model runs. Maybe…..just maybe Euro said “no thanks” and that’s why it’s sticking to the same solutions over and over???

Somebody please correct me if I’m wrong or have additional insight.


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You make a good point. I'm definitely a noob here, but if your organization focuses on weather forecasting and modeling, it makes me wonder why they wouldn't that want data.

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Matthew70

Matthew70

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32 minutes ago, Tucker1027 said:


Yep and that’s going over areas that will get over .50 of ice…

Sometimes you have to look at a model and just say that doesn’t look right. EURO hasn’t looked right to me.


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Seems I remember not to long ago in the Midwest it was posted where there were severe thunderstorms warnings & blizzard warnings simultaneously. They were overlapping one another.

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Matthew70

Matthew70

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PLEASE SHARE: We are expecting snow, sleet, freezing rain, & rain. As of now, here’s what our team is thinking as far as snow & ice accum. 
The biggest takeaway is that travel will not only be dangerous but nearly impossible at times. Power outages are expected. Watch @WKRN!

IMG_0788.jpeg

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