SE Crew - Cliff Diving

[Thrasher Fan]

Give me that CMC run for verification. Could get a round of golf in with that.

[suzook]

41 minutes ago, DeltaPilot said:

Im gonna call it, very low probability of a severe ice event where we are, south of ATL. Really looking like a nice pretty glaze. I dont think we will be cold enough at the lower levels long enough to get much accumulation at all here. Im not saying storm cancel, but Im gonna stick with this. Typical climo here supports it too. 

I still owe you a beer from last year. Make it 2 if your prediction comes true

[DeltaPilot]

Roger that Suzook!!!! 

[SECane]

Went from seeing 20 inches of snow to nothing and praying I don’t get crushed by ICE in less than 24 hours. Always assume that if you’re just barely in the snow line 4 days out that its about to shift north a good 800 miles if you’re in southern NC.

Funny enough we managed to get snow here in November without mixing issues, but when it comes time for January, and actual winter to come by we can’t get squat. Go figure.

[lilj4425]

Grasping as straws. This one is over.

[lilj4425]

IT’S OVER!!!! 

[DeltaPilot]

I still see quite a few models showing temps and dewpoints really low at 2m here for Sat/Sun. Like temps in the mid 20s!  Forecast now showing mostly rain here south of ATL.  Something ain't adding up.

[UnionCountyNCWX]

Im out. Let it torch and rain at this point. 

[Thrasher Fan]

The winter weather is snow only crowd can go ahead and just logoff at this point. Cluttering everything up with crying.

[lilj4425]

Just now, Thrasher Fan said:

The winter weather is snow only crowd can go ahead and just logoff at this point. Cluttering everything up with crying.

Some of us would rather keep our power on and not have tree fall on our house thank you very much. 

[Brick Tamland]

This was the Euro run yesterday morning. Today it doesn't have any snow at all for NC. It might have been the first one to make the change, but don't tell me it doesn't suck, too, when it goes from 15 inches of snow to freezing rain in less than 24 hours only 3 to 4 days out.

[Thrasher Fan]

Just now, lilj4425 said:

Some of us would rather keep our power on and not have tree fall on our house thank you very much. 

I think that would be everyone on this board.

[UnionCountyNCWX]

Can I go back in time and trade this hobby for something that has a better chance of winning? Like gambling?

[Brick Tamland]

48 minutes ago, SECane said:

Went from seeing 20 inches of snow to nothing and praying I don’t get crushed by ICE in less than 24 hours. Always assume that if you’re just barely in the snow line 4 days out that its about to shift north a good 800 miles if you’re in southern NC.

Funny enough we managed to get snow here in November without mixing issues, but when it comes time for January, and actual winter to come by we can’t get squat. Go figure.

Euro had me with 15 inches of snow and then went to freezing rain less than 24 hours later. I was more than barely in the snow line. 

[lilj4425]

Next time let me start the storm thread. Screw back surgery. 

[SnowDawg]

I don't wanna hear that it was just hype from youtube/social media weather accounts either. This was messaging from NWS Atlanta last night. Even going so far as saying they could see more snow being forecast as time went on. 

[Brick Tamland]

16 minutes ago, UnionCountyNCWX said:

Can I go back in time and trade this hobby for something that has a better chance of winning? Like gambling?

Really. This one might be the one that breaks me. It's stupid to waste time looking at something that had so much agreement on the models for a big snowstorm here 4 days out only for it to change in less than 24 hours 3 days out. 

[franklin NCwx]

1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said:

Really. This one might be the one that breaks me. It's stupid to waste time looking at something that had so much agreement on the models for a big snowstorm here 4 days out only for it to change in less than 24 hours 3 days out. 

Ill see yall at the craps table in cherokee.  Beers on me!

[ADB83]

3 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

Really. This one might be the one that breaks me. It's stupid to waste time looking at something that had so much agreement on the models for a big snowstorm here 4 days out only for it to change in less than 24 hours 3 days out. 

You’ve been around through a lot of disappointment. A lot. That’s what this area produces most of the time. You’ll be back. And I’m grateful for that.

[mstr4j]

It's simple from here on out - if it isn't in the high-resolution models inside 36 hours, take it with a grain of salt.  I have never in my life seen so many thread the needle examples - and no matter the ingredients, it fails. Is what it is - hoping the 2m temps mean sleet for a while, makes sledding fun!

[Brick Tamland]

3 minutes ago, mstr4j said:

It's simple from here on out - if it isn't in the high-resolution models inside 36 hours, take it with a grain of salt.  I have never in my life seen so many thread the needle examples - and no matter the ingredients, it fails. Is what it is - hoping the 2m temps mean sleet for a while, makes sledding fun!

Yeah, maybe it's better to just not check out the models and come on here until then.

[lilj4425]

It’s all that damn farting from the mid-Atlantic people that caused this warm air.

[SECane]

59 minutes ago, Thrasher Fan said:

The winter weather is snow only crowd can go ahead and just logoff at this point. Cluttering everything up with crying.

I had an inch and half of ice back in 2003 when I lived in the Midlands of SC that went on for like 2 days, and the 2nd day we lost power. I don’t ever wanna see that much ice again in my lifetime.

 

I’ll take some cold rain over that.