2026 Foothills thread

[BooneWX]

That FV3 run was beautiful too. 

[Ernest T Bass]

I like where we sit overall with the initial disturbance at least for now, but the coastal development is going to make or break some weenie hearts to the east.  

[wncsnow]

The radar is going to be fascinating to watch tomorrow night

[wncsnow]

AIGFS is better again for us and the upstate

[BooneWX]

Solid GFS run incoming 

[wncsnow]

This is trending better for us and possibly worse for the triangle. 

[BooneWX]

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

AIGFS is better again for us and the upstate

Would like to see it quit digging so far south though. 

[wncsnow]

Just now, BooneWX said:

Would like to see it quit digging so far south though. 

Yeah I think its better to be south than north though. I think it will correct north some the last 24 H

[BooneWX]

Hall of fame gfs run in terms of everyone being happy 

[wncsnow]

P.S. Theres another signal still for late next week

[wncsnow]

One thing we dont need is the ULL to trend weaker. That's one thing to really keep an eye out on now. 

[WNC_Fort]

I miss the 2009 and 2018 storms where nothing ever wavered but an inch or two haha. We can’t latch onto a storm 2 days out much less a week anymore 

[wncsnow]

Just now, WNC_Fort said:

I miss the 2009 and 2018 storms where nothing ever wavered but an inch or two haha. We can’t latch onto a storm 2 days out much less a week anymore 

We're still in a good spot for at least a 2-4 event and likely 3-6. 

[WNC_Fort]

the old McDowell county special

[wncsnow]

5 minutes ago, WNC_Fort said:

the old McDowell county special

Lol they just called for 3-6 the last storm so take what they say with a grain of salt

[BooneWX]

If we don’t lose that meso low too far south, we’ll all be fine. Can’t see an issue of a screw zone if that’s the case. If we trend towards the Canadian camp then yes, someone is getting screwed because I’d favor a heavy band from Statesville through Forest City and into Greenville. 

[wncsnow]

This was their first call for the last system

[strongwxnc]

https://products.climate.ncsu.edu/weather/winter/latest-snow-events/

 

Cool map about snow history in NC based og amount since last. 

[lilj4425]

Big increase from GSP: 

[BooneWX]

5 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

Big increase from GSP: 

Makes sense given the ratios we’re looking at. Really won’t take much qpf for a very nice event. I’d expect winter storm warnings soon. 

[BooneWX]

I was digging into the FV3 and it actually left some meat on the bone. I think it should’ve been close to a foot for many of us. If you look at soundings Friday evening area wide, they support snowfall. The surface map didn’t reflect the saturated column. 

[wncsnow]

AIFS was steady and  did not move south again. Great! Great Euro run too!