2026 Foothills thread

[buckeyefan1]

13 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

I really wish we could win again and share snow pics and our kids playing in the snow. The snow drought cant last forever. 

Same, but with grandkids   It won't and our time to shine will happen my friend

[buckeyefan1]

Is the rrfs replacing the nam?

[strongwxnc]

3 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

Is the rrfs replacing the nam?

 

The NAM, HREF, and HRRR are going away in 2026 and will be the RRFS.

 Can you run one for KFQD?

 

 

[buckeyefan1]

2 minutes ago, strongwxnc said:

The NAM, HREF, and HRRR are going away in 2026 and will be the RRFS.

 Can you run one for KFQD?

 

 

Of course  

[buckeyefan1]

Here's Asheville

[mercurydime]

Damn. Seems a waste of cold air...and emotional well-being.  

[wncsnow]

1 hour ago, mercurydime said:

Damn. Seems a waste of cold air...and emotional well-being.  

Can't wait for single digits next week then rain a few days later

[Jmoon]

We're just pissing in the wind around here no matter which way you slice it. Absolutely pitiful. So depressing.

[BooneWX]

Walked outside to red skies this morning. I’m manifesting an uptrend boys. Pouring all of my vibes into this Caribbean atmosphere.

[WiseWeather]

Lets let the models Ingest all of the hurricane hinters data today and step back from the edge until we get that data… positive trends today for us.


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[BooneWX]

NW trend….. it’s time


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[wncsnow]

1 hour ago, BooneWX said:

NW trend….. it’s time


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It's over fam

[WXNewton]

I think what it comes down to with this storm is the flow is too fast. Not enough time for the vort to really strengthen within the longwave trough. Most ppl don't understand how close this is from being a classic snowstorm and a dud. The line between the two options is really thin. Say it again...where is the blocking when you need it!

[WNC_Fort]

I haven’t been paying much attention to the long range. Anything of interest?

[BooneWX]

1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

It's over fam

Yep I came here to say I’ve thrown in the towel lol. Brutal few days! We wasted an awesome pattern. 

[BooneWX]

-NAO from this point forward should be the litmus test on whether or not it’s worth being invested. No blocking, no bueno. 

[buckeyefan1]

13 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

-NAO from this point forward should be the litmus test on whether or not it’s worth being invested. No blocking, no bueno. 

Indeed. All things are possible with blocking 

[BooneWX]

1 hour ago, WNC_Fort said:

I haven’t been paying much attention to the long range. Anything of interest?

Modestly intriguing next week. Might actually have HP to work with. 

[wncsnow]

Moisture is now my number 1 concern growing forward. 

[WNC_Fort]

That “storm” at the end of the month on the GFS might be the first true fantasy storm of magnitude since 2022

[strongwxnc]

Moisture is now my number 1 concern growing forward. 

1.96” for the year here


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[wncsnow]

7 minutes ago, strongwxnc said:

1.96” for the year here


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The past 6 months (or more) its been one heavy rainfall event per 2 or 3 months then bone dry. 

[BooneWX]

13 minutes ago, WNC_Fort said:

That “storm” at the end of the month on the GFS might be the first true fantasy storm of magnitude since 2022

It’d be absolutely hilarious if the storm that breaks the bad mojo in the foothills is just a carbon copy of Dec 2018. No snow for a few years? Sorry, how about 15”?

[buckeyefan1]

1 hour ago, WNC_Fort said:

That “storm” at the end of the month on the GFS might be the first true fantasy storm of magnitude since 2022

That’s been the one I’ve been interested in  

[wncsnow]

Something to watch tonight for us snow starved weenies. The HRRR is trying to bring a band of rain/snow mix and some minor accumulations in the upper foothills 

[BooneWX]

It’s a shame we can’t get the moisture here for Sunday. NAM has the dew points supportive of accumulating snowfall.

[WiseWeather]

Has the new data been ingested yet?? I thought they were flying at 5pm west coast time


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[BooneWX]

3 hours ago, WiseWeather said:

Has the new data been ingested yet?? I thought they were flying at 5pm west coast time


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It’ll be ingested for 0z. Interesting runs coming I think. I’ll pronounce it dead or alive after 12z tomorrow. I know I’m smoking that hopium, but man it really would not take a wild shift to get us very firmly in the game. WNC is one of the few locations I’d feel confident about the CAA being on time. Right now, the moisture footprint over the central Carolina’s doesn’t really require that much of a jump to come west. Not with 36 ish hours to go. Wouldn’t be shocked either if it’s less of a shift, and more of an amplified trend with more moisture response..

[BooneWX]

Strung out or not, we are working with physics in our area aiding us. A gulf tap and some upgliding as terrain rises can do the trick. 

[SnowDawg]

9 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

Strung out or not, we are working with physics in our area aiding us. A gulf tap and some upgliding as terrain rises can do the trick. 

Yep and the arctic front being more past us than to the east could give some isentropic lift over the shallow cold air. Still unlikely, but it really won’t take much shallow moisture to maybe create a bit of qpf.