John1122 Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago We just need the vort to wrap over West Tennessee vs East Tennessee. The Canadian and GFS do it there, the Euro isn't as wound up and brings it further East. The Euro Ai is closer to the Canadian/GFS than the OP Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago At the end of its run, the RGEM looked like it was going to wind up similar to the GFS/Canadian. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Any GoogleAI updates for 12z and/or trends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago The 12z Weather Next should be out in a few minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago Weather Next is delayed for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Looks like Google Weathernext v2.78665 pretty well held with the upper low bringing snow, but that's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Weather Next 12z run pulled from another forum: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Vol4Life said: Weather Next 12z run pulled from another forum: With. 20:1 ratio, that’s likely a 2-4+ for ETN with amounts increasing for NETN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago It was ever so slight, but the Weather Next moved the precip slightly west and slightly more for most of East Tn vs 06z. So a small step in the right direction. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago It's crazy to see snow dumping over the gulf stream off the South Carolina coast. But here we are where it snows heavily over warm ocean areas but avoids it at all costs for East Tennessee. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 14 minutes ago, Vol4Life said: With. 20:1 ratio, that’s likely a 2-4+ for ETN with amounts increasing for NETN Will be interesting to see what the High-res models do with the ULL moisture as they get into range. Even without the bomb Eastern areas may actually have a shot at the biggest snow of the year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago From that Weather Next run, ratio'd since temps are in the single digits and low teens and the entire column looks like a North Dakota snow sounding, I'd say 1 to 1.5 inches around Cookeville, 1.5-3 inches along the Plateau west to East, 1.5-4 along the central valley of East Tn, 3-6 for NE Tennessee/mountains. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tjgrogan Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Maybe the low will track in a favorable direction for East Tennessee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, fountainguy97 said: Will be interesting to see what the High-res models do with the ULL moisture as they get into range. Even without the bomb Eastern areas may actually have a shot at the biggest snow of the year. After what seems like a train of downslope events, i'm sure most in our area would sign up for a 2-4" snow, especially if we don't have to use that term....... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago 13 minutes ago, tnweathernut said: After what seems like a train of downslope events, i'm sure most in our area would sign up for a 2-4" snow, especially if we don't have to use that term....... If I can get 2 inches from this, I'll be happy at this point. The Euro being a complete whiffer is a sadly decent chance to happen too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GBOVolz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago New weather model/ data site:https://aguacerowx.com/app/ That’s the one I use. Very handy . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GBOVolz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago These guys do a good job. Nice write up here for the weekend To summarize… they are on board with a faster phase and a more western trackhttps://x.com/weathertrackus/status/2016246272013832596?s=46&t=LVg8BRWCh1zZb6F_t95EVg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GBOVolz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago These guys do a good job. Nice write up here for the weekend To summarize… they are on board with a faster phase and a more western trackhttps://x.com/weathertrackus/status/2016246272013832596?s=46&t=LVg8BRWCh1zZb6F_t95EVg.https://x.com/weathertrackus/status/2016247539130138969?s=46&t=LVg8BRWCh1zZb6F_t95EVg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 18z NAM looks kinda blah at the end. Flat with the vort at 84 vs it wrapping up on the 12z gfs at 90. Probably wasn't going to get much done here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 59 minutes ago Author Share Posted 59 minutes ago The ICON may be trying with the vort. It looks slightly better than 12z through 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted 43 minutes ago Share Posted 43 minutes ago The 18z rgem was something else! Too bad it doesn’t go beyond 84hrs! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted 41 minutes ago Share Posted 41 minutes ago 1 minute ago, Jed33 said: The 18z rgem was something else! Too bad it doesn’t go beyond 84hrs! That’s exactly what we need to happen 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted 41 minutes ago Share Posted 41 minutes ago 1 minute ago, Jed33 said: The 18z rgem was something else! Too bad it doesn’t go beyond 84hrs! Man, you aren’t kidding. Looked very similar to GFS at 12Z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted 7 minutes ago Share Posted 7 minutes ago Another solid run of GFS at 18z. More of the state has accumulatation. Around 6” at TYS and increases as you head E/NE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted 6 minutes ago Share Posted 6 minutes ago Why does the GFS has to be a continual tease for east and especially northeast TN? I've have 40+ inches of modeled snow from that wretched model and only have 1/2" that melted away to show for it.. lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted 5 minutes ago Share Posted 5 minutes ago Just now, tnweathernut said: Why does the GFS has to be a continual tease for east and especially northeast TN? I've have 40+ inches of modeled snow from that wretched model and only have 1/2" that melted away to show for it.. lol Was it just me or did the low pressure off the coast of NC hug the coast more? If that shifts to just inland, then that should help back flow into ETN? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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