January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread

[Kentucky]

1 hour ago, *Flash* said:

Good update, Holston. I could be overly optimistic but it wouldn't surprise me if January fun 'n games continues into the first half of February. We've finally killed the heat dome in our state. Waking up to 20s never felt so good!

On a separate note, I can't upload any media over 3.7 kb on this forum which essentially defeats the purpose. I'm not sure why my issues are confined to this site only. Anyone else having that problem? I'll see if I can clear some things to fix the issue. Not super tech savvy.

Some kind of weird restriction here on AmericanWX seems they give each user so much storage and it's not a lot at all. Believe most on here embed@Carvers Gap@Holston_River_Rambler among others can probably point you in the write direction.

Congratulations on the new addition btw 

[Weatheriscool]

9 hours ago, jaxjagman said:

To an extent this is true,but besides a NAO the first step is a good PNA in our parts , really some deception to East Tn to the West.TN,mountains im sure causes part of this,while the east wants to see a more stronger -NAO,it dont work like that from the close to the Cumberland to West it just leads with us with cold dry with  cutters,compared to the east,we really live in a weird climo in Tn in winter,its really unusual to see the state wide snowfall at the sane time

I would be happy with moisture on a regular basis whatever the temps end up being, we are still really really dry here in Sumner County 

[Daniel Boone]

10 hours ago, jaxjagman said:

To an extent this is true,but besides a NAO the first step is a good PNA in our parts , really some deception to East Tn to the West.TN,mountains im sure causes part of this,while the east wants to see a more stronger -NAO,it dont work like that from the close to the Cumberland to West it just leads with us with cold dry with  cutters,compared to the east,we really live in a weird climo in Tn in winter,its really unusual to see the state wide snowfall at the sane time

Oh, I know that . I was referring to how the block retrogades and other effects of it along with the AK Vort.. Yeah, a tall PNA Ridge is tops in my opinion, really for the whole area , in general. 

[Daniel Boone]

44 minutes ago, Weatheriscool said:

I would be happy with moisture on a regular basis whatever the temps end up being, we are still really really dry here in Sumner County 

It is getting that way here. About half the Average Rainfall for December.

[Holston_River_Rambler]

2 hours ago, *Flash* said:

On a separate note, I can't upload any media over 3.7 kb on this forum which essentially defeats the purpose. I'm not sure why my issues are confined to this site only. Anyone else having that problem? I'll see if I can clear some things to fix the issue. Not super tech savvy.

I made a throw away account on imgur and will either screen shot static images or save to my desktop gifs generated by a site like tropical tidbits. 

You just have to drag and drop the saved gif (.gif) or image (I think it has to be a .png or .jpg) to the box on imgur. Then you click "copy image address":

 

 

Then you just paste that link directly into the text box here and hit the "enter" or "return." It should automatically populate the image or gif at that point. 

 

 

 

 

 

[Weatheriscool]

3 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said:

It is getting that way here. About half the Average Rainfall for December.

Yea, it has been a really strange last 8 months or so. It was really wet here in the Middle TN area in the Spring up until about June, then it literally stopped. It did the same thing it is doing now, about every ten days we would get a strong line of storms and it rains some but then nothing for another two weeks. 

[Daniel Boone]

2 hours ago, *Flash* said:

Good update, Holston. I could be overly optimistic but it wouldn't surprise me if January fun 'n games continues into the first half of February. We've finally killed the heat dome in our state. Waking up to 20s never felt so good!

On a separate note, I can't upload any media over 3.7 kb on this forum which essentially defeats the purpose. I'm not sure why my issues are confined to this site only. Anyone else having that problem? I'll see if I can clear some things to fix the issue. Not super tech savvy.

Yeah, same here. Mentioned it couple pages back and Carver's and John told how to get around the problem. 

[Daniel Boone]

A few light flurries here this Morning.

[Carvers Gap]

I thought the 12z GFS was close with two storms on Jan 7 and Jan 11.  Sure enough, the 12z CMC which doesn’t have a progressive bias…brought it.   Good look. Big storm.

[Carvers Gap]

The 12z CMC has the EPO in place by Jan 6 with a nice pattern in place by the 8th - eastern trough.

[Carvers Gap]

It is quiet in here to have such a good 12z suite.  The 12z Euro looked loaded.  Very nice run with plenty of chances and actual snow embedded in the run.

[Carvers Gap]

5 day mean for the deterministic 12z Euro...~d6-11.

[Carvers Gap]

The 12z AIFS Euro has three storms back-to-back-to-back.  Easily the best suite of the year in terms of just synoptical setup.

[Carvers Gap]

Also, ensembles are starting to honk that an Alaskan block is setting up.  Now that....that would deliver cold.

[Carvers Gap]

4 hours ago, *Flash* said:

Good update, Holston. I could be overly optimistic but it wouldn't surprise me if January fun 'n games continues into the first half of February. We've finally killed the heat dome in our state. Waking up to 20s never felt so good!

On a separate note, I can't upload any media over 3.7 kb on this forum which essentially defeats the purpose. I'm not sure why my issues are confined to this site only. Anyone else having that problem? I'll see if I can clear some things to fix the issue. Not super tech savvy.

I use photobucket.  @John1122metnioned a service he uses as well.  I use photo bucket.  I just upload the photo, and then grab a hosting link for it.  Some hosting sites are free and some are maybe five bucks a month.

[John1122]

I was coming to say that the Euro/GEM/EuroAi all have some wintery threats loaded. No monsters but active potential once the Pacific locks in. The GFS, which could be right, is on an island. It's verified horribly here and in the Pac NW over the last 90 days. Way too cold there, way too warm here.

[John1122]

21 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

I use photobucket.  @John1122metnioned a service he uses as well.  I use photo bucket.  I just upload the photo, and then grab a hosting link for it.  Some hosting sites are free and some are maybe five bucks a month.

I use freeimage.host. Just add the image you want, once it's uploaded, click on it, then open the image only in a new tab, copy that link and paste it here.