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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread


John1122
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You guys weren't kidding on the winds, weather station recorded a 30 mph gust (only counts a 5 second avg for gust speed) and temp dropped 12 degrees in 5 mins from 1010 to 1015 last night 

 

Interesting that the winds were from the north all day and flipped 180 degrees to from the south in that time period. 

 

Whipping fog at 60 degrees in heavy wind is awesome weather haha

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Line moved through here this morning.  Wind and rain.  Both the 0z CMC and Euro move plenty of cold air eastward beginning around the 29th.  They could be too fast in breaking down the warm-up, but both have a cutter where the GFS does not.  My guess would be the GFS is slightly too progressive, and misses it.  If that cutter is legit, cold would roar down the Plains.  Not sure how excited about cold on the 30th I am - Music City Bowl would be miserable!

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The para 0z GDPS is very cold on the 28th-29th before the run ends.  I have a feeling (if the NAO strengthens and models aren't hurrying it up too much), that cutter may bring down more cold than models are depicting.  If the NAO starts a bit slow, then the GFS will score that timeframe.

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