TheClimateChanger Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Can't beat that! Enjoy! Now if only we could keep this rolling through December... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 Today will be the 16th below normal day in a row at PIT. By the time this streak ends, it should be the longest streak of below normal since 21 days at this same time of year in 2017. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 I'm curious why we seem to hit our peak heat in June and then have "cold" shots in August. Shouldn't that be reversed? Is that just recency bias? Kind of an interesting dynamic. This is looking forward to winter, but that dominant -PDO is something to note from this summer, how it may affect our winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted September 9 Share Posted September 9 2 hours ago, jwilson said: I'm curious why we seem to hit our peak heat in June and then have "cold" shots in August. Shouldn't that be reversed? Is that just recency bias? Kind of an interesting dynamic. This is looking forward to winter, but that dominant -PDO is something to note from this summer, how it may affect our winter. I can't remember, is that good or bad for winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted September 10 Share Posted September 10 15 hours ago, Ahoff said: I can't remember, is that good or bad for winter? Generally worse for snow in the East. The overall regime from the last decade+ was a -PDO-led pacific, which has resulted in a sort of snow dearth, particularly along the East Coast. Granted, we don't rely on quite the same mechanisms here in the mountains, but decreasing snow chances can impact us just the same. Especially true if you're hunting for a big one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted September 10 Author Share Posted September 10 Will be interesting to see whether the Youghiogheny River Lake approaches the lows of last autumn. Currently, around 1415.8' ASL. Looks like it fell to around 1,369' in early November 2024, although I'm not sure of the exact low. Further research suggests a low of about 1,362' in December 1998, and a value in 1991 of about 6' higher than that. The December 21, 1998 low was said to have been exceeded twice, in 1954 & 1957. Source: A bridge to the 19th century Not sure we reach as low as last fall unless October is dry, but decent odds of dropping below 1,400' again. Not sure when the "ghost bridge" becomes visible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted September 11 Author Share Posted September 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 15 Share Posted September 15 Low of 61 at PIT appears to break the streak of sub-60 lows at 21 days. Earliest in the season that we’ve recorded three full weeks of sub-60 lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 16 Share Posted September 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted September 18 Author Share Posted September 18 A little bit of D3 - Extreme Drought introduced to a small part of southwest Pennsylvania: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted September 20 Share Posted September 20 Some areas down this way have been getting crushed with rain the last couple hours. Surprised not to see any posts from our Chalk Hill poster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted September 21 Share Posted September 21 10 hours ago, Mailman said: Some areas down this way have been getting crushed with rain the last couple hours. Surprised not to see any posts from our Chalk Hill poster. I was at my camp just 20 some miles from home but my daughter was home and said it was pouring with huge drops for an hour, then a break then more of it! Totally needed….it barely hit me where I was in confluence…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted September 23 Share Posted September 23 1.98" of much needed rain yesterday here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted September 24 Author Share Posted September 24 Today is the 75th anniversary of Black/Dark Sunday. Here is a story from the front page of the Pittsburgh Press on Monday, September 25, 1950: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted September 30 Share Posted September 30 Today is the 15th day with a high of 80+ this September. Septembers with 14+ days of 80+, 1952-2014 (63 years): 9 Septembers with 14+ days of 80+, 2015-2025 (11 years): 7 Crazy that something that used to happen about once every 7 years is now happening more years than not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted October 1 Share Posted October 1 16 hours ago, TimB said: Today is the 15th day with a high of 80+ this September. Septembers with 14+ days of 80+, 1952-2014 (63 years): 9 Septembers with 14+ days of 80+, 2015-2025 (11 years): 7 Crazy that something that used to happen about once every 7 years is now happening more years than not. I'd had an observational theory for years that summer was lasting longer, but the data is now more-or-less confirming it. It is a relatively small sample size in the grand scheme of things, but we know it is warming, regardless. The next question for me is how does this affect winter long-term. I thought maybe we were moving to a 6-and-6 type split of winter and summer (six months each), but it is possible we see abbreviated winters and then those transition months that still resemble fall and spring. Maybe a 2-2-2 approach. This is decadal or longer in timeframe as the climate (gradually?) shifts. In the short-term, really any outcome remains possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted October 2 Author Share Posted October 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted October 3 Author Share Posted October 3 Accuweather's early winter outlook calls for below normal snowfall (28-35") and near normal temperatures. Sounds like a repeat of last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted October 3 Author Share Posted October 3 On 9/10/2025 at 3:05 PM, TheClimateChanger said: Will be interesting to see whether the Youghiogheny River Lake approaches the lows of last autumn. Currently, around 1415.8' ASL. Looks like it fell to around 1,369' in early November 2024, although I'm not sure of the exact low. Further research suggests a low of about 1,362' in December 1998, and a value in 1991 of about 6' higher than that. The December 21, 1998 low was said to have been exceeded twice, in 1954 & 1957. Source: A bridge to the 19th century Not sure we reach as low as last fall unless October is dry, but decent odds of dropping below 1,400' again. Not sure when the "ghost bridge" becomes visible. Despite a couple inches of rain last week, the reservoir levels have continued to decline. Should drop to 1,399' tomorrow. Further research shows it got down to at least 1,364' last year, maybe even a couple feet lower. Not sure of the final tally. Still aways to go before reaching those levels again, but with the current forecast could be looking at 1,380' later in the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted October 3 Author Share Posted October 3 On 9/18/2025 at 9:09 AM, TheClimateChanger said: A little bit of D3 - Extreme Drought introduced to a small part of southwest Pennsylvania: Some improvement in the drought situation locally, but still dry in most places. The dry grounds really absorbed a lot of the rain, so area lakes and rivers are still quite low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted October 3 Share Posted October 3 12 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said: Despite a couple inches of rain last week, the reservoir levels have continued to decline. Should drop to 1,399' tomorrow. Further research shows it got down to at least 1,364' last year, maybe even a couple feet lower. Not sure of the final tally. Still aways to go before reaching those levels again, but with the current forecast could be looking at 1,380' later in the month. This is where my camp is-it’s really low but nowhere near last years. If I could post a photo of me walking across the bridge that is normally under water I would. Still-another crappy year where they drained the lake sI much to accommodate the kayakers and rafters on the yough river in Ohiopyle…..not caring about us boaters at the yough lake-such a shame to drain this gorgeous lake so the money makers stay in business… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted yesterday at 04:19 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:19 PM URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 1218 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 OHZ039>041-048>050-057-058-PAZ020-021-029-031-WVZ001-002-100030- /O.NEW.KPBZ.FR.Y.0009.251010T0400Z-251010T1300Z/ Tuscarawas-Carroll-Columbiana-Coshocton-Harrison-Jefferson OH- Muskingum-Guernsey-Beaver-Allegheny-Washington-Greene-Hancock- Brooke- Including the cities of Cadiz, Zanesville, Salem, Weirton, Carrollton, Aliquippa, Beaver Falls, Ambridge, Dover, Follansbee, Coshocton, Cambridge, Columbiana, New Philadelphia, Monaca, Pittsburgh Metro Area, Malvern, Waynesburg, Washington, East Liverpool, Steubenville, Wellsburg, and Canonsburg 1218 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures as low as 33 will result in frost formation. * WHERE...Portions of east central Ohio, southwest and western Pennsylvania, and northern and the northern panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$ CL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago 21 hours ago, meatwad said: URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 1218 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 OHZ039>041-048>050-057-058-PAZ020-021-029-031-WVZ001-002-100030- /O.NEW.KPBZ.FR.Y.0009.251010T0400Z-251010T1300Z/ Tuscarawas-Carroll-Columbiana-Coshocton-Harrison-Jefferson OH- Muskingum-Guernsey-Beaver-Allegheny-Washington-Greene-Hancock- Brooke- Including the cities of Cadiz, Zanesville, Salem, Weirton, Carrollton, Aliquippa, Beaver Falls, Ambridge, Dover, Follansbee, Coshocton, Cambridge, Columbiana, New Philadelphia, Monaca, Pittsburgh Metro Area, Malvern, Waynesburg, Washington, East Liverpool, Steubenville, Wellsburg, and Canonsburg 1218 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures as low as 33 will result in frost formation. * WHERE...Portions of east central Ohio, southwest and western Pennsylvania, and northern and the northern panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$ CL Definitely had some solid frost each of the last two mornings in my area, especially heavy on the rooftops. Did not drop below freezing though on my thermometer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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