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2025 Spring/Summer Mountain Thread


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SPC Convective Outlook for our region Wednesday, June 25: 

...Southeast...
   Strong instability will develop during the afternoon over much of
   the region, with 2000-3000 J/kg MLCAPE common. Of note will be
   midlevel lapse rates greater than 7.0 C/km, suggesting robust
   convection is likely. Storms are expected to form around 21Z over
   the high terrain, and within a surface trough during peak heating
   over the central Carolinas. Slow moving at first, storms will form
   into clusters, with erratic motions possible. However, a general
   southerly trends is expected. The high PWAT content, steep lapse
   rates, and favorable time of day all suggest areas of damaging
   microbursts will develop. As such, the area has been upgraded to a
   Slight Risk.

   Scattered storms are expected farther south into GA, AL, and the FL
   Panhandle as well, within a southwest extension of the surface
   trough, and, possibly with the sea breeze. Forecast soundings in
   this region similarly show very strong instability, with
   west/southwest moving storm clusters likely producing damaging wind
   gusts.
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1 hour ago, GoAPPS said:
SPC Convective Outlook for our region Wednesday, June 25: 

...Southeast...
   Strong instability will develop during the afternoon over much of
   the region, with 2000-3000 J/kg MLCAPE common. Of note will be
   midlevel lapse rates greater than 7.0 C/km, suggesting robust
   convection is likely. Storms are expected to form around 21Z over
   the high terrain, and within a surface trough during peak heating
   over the central Carolinas. Slow moving at first, storms will form
   into clusters, with erratic motions possible. However, a general
   southerly trends is expected. The high PWAT content, steep lapse
   rates, and favorable time of day all suggest areas of damaging
   microbursts will develop. As such, the area has been upgraded to a
   Slight Risk.

   Scattered storms are expected farther south into GA, AL, and the FL
   Panhandle as well, within a southwest extension of the surface
   trough, and, possibly with the sea breeze. Forecast soundings in
   this region similarly show very strong instability, with
   west/southwest moving storm clusters likely producing damaging wind
   gusts.

Yeah Thunderstorms are going to be roaring back to life in the mountains starting tomorrow through the weekend. 

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