nrgjeff Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 Saturday 2% seems about right. Modest flow is forecast in the upper levels. It's not really backed, but a cooking outflow boundary can take care of the low levels. See how much sun comes out between rounds. Otherwise, summer clusters with some organization and straight wind seems reasonable. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 SPC now has tn almost entirely in slight risk with northeast corner in marginal no longer in the 5% hail risk but 5-15% wind has been moved to cover all of tn 2% tor risk is moved northwest corner of west and middle tn https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted Friday at 05:01 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:01 PM SPC has three marginal risks out for Friday Saturday and Sunday Friday and Saturday are just for wind . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted Saturday at 03:14 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:14 PM SPC has moved marginal risk westward into middle TN for 5% wind also did you check out SPC discussion a upgrade to 60% for wind in the already 45% wind in mid Atlantic New England area . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted Saturday at 05:04 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:04 PM The lightning in these overnight cells gets intense, and if you happen to find yourself under one, look out. I had a tree struck around 2AM here. Virtually no wind. Just periods of frequent CGs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted Saturday at 08:15 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:15 PM Yikes glad your safe windspeed . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted Sunday at 03:59 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:59 PM Tuesday has tn separated between slight risk (top) and marginal risk (bottom) for day three with 5-15% probability here and 30-45% in the Appalachian mountains and mid Atlantic New England areahttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago SPC has slight and marginal out for TN today all hazards 2% tornado with 5% tornado in ky 5% hail and 5-15-30% wind non hatched also not all of TN is in each hazard either except for wind https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scottie16 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago I have a gut feeling these storms will be worse than they are thought to be tonight.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago They look pretty far away on radar but I'm getting thunder and lightning already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scottie16 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago They look pretty far away on radar but I'm getting thunder and lightning already. I have had thunder off and on. Wind is still strong out of the southeast. It’ll be interesting to see how it’ll interact with any energy from Berthas outer bands once it gets closer on the plateau/valley. Usually storms closer to the gulf limit us here iirc but some storms are producing out the far end of the bands in the upper regions of GA/AL.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Nice supercell sort of near south ky might clip northern counties in middle TN . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago That line incoming over middle Tenn looks nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Kentucky supercells just don't care if the low levels are all veered off. Kentucky gonna Kentucky. I doubt they are as strong after sunset so I agree with SPC. No Crossville special. Just barely out of the 2%. Separately I got a kick out of two NYC anchors who are from the Midwest or South talking about their tornado risk today. Weather people are all the same. Totally forgot their audience is probably terrified. Oh well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago It's been thunderstorming here for an hour but it's just now actually raining. That may have been the longest, loudest, closest thunder I've seen that wasn't producing rain. There's a gap to my NW in the storms and I'm completely fine if the line break passed my area. I hate straight line wind events. I usually lose power for 12+ hours in them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Looks like all the severe storms just died for the east side. Middle Tennessee looks to be getting the brunt of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago Definite rotation around Vanleer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Has a hook and tornado warned in Dickson TN had a bunch of severe thunderstorm warnings with constant lightning and thunder great light show . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago 4 minutes ago, KakashiHatake2000 said: Has a hook and tornado warned in Dickson TN had a bunch of severe thunderstorm warnings with constant lightning and thunder great light show . We moved from Brentwood to Franklin,we was surrounded by trees in Brentwood but we have a open skyline here,quite nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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