TV Severe Weather2025-?

[GBOVolz]

First of next week might get interesting. This is d4-7














.

[nrgjeff]

With 5 of the next 8 days in outlooks, I was hoping chaser drama on X would cease, and people would concentrate on the forecast. Silly me! What was I thinking? 

We shall refer to Monday as Monday or whatever day outlook it is (as time passes) and omit the date which shall not be named. Same for that year. Possible another day crops up next week too. That still doesn't make it that year. It makes it spring in the South!

[Runman292]

16 hours ago, nrgjeff said:

With 5 of the next 8 days in outlooks, I was hoping chaser drama on X would cease, and people would concentrate on the forecast. Silly me! What was I thinking? 

We shall refer to Monday as Monday or whatever day outlook it is (as time passes) and omit the date which shall not be named. Same for that year. Possible another day crops up next week too. That still doesn't make it that year. It makes it spring in the South!

Jeff, I have a question out of curiosity. It may just be me, but it seems like almost all severe weather threats in East TN take place in the late evening/overnight hours. Afternoon severe weather events appear to be somewhat rare. Is there any truth to this, and what causes this?

[jaxjagman]

38 minutes ago, Runman292 said:

Jeff, I have a question out of curiosity. It may just be me, but it seems like almost all severe weather threats in East TN take place in the late evening/overnight hours. Afternoon severe weather events appear to be somewhat rare. Is there any truth to this, and what causes this?

More like the whole state.TN leads leads the nation with 46% being nocturnal tornadoes

[nrgjeff]

Yeah @jaxjagman Tennessee overnight is one of the highest state proportions in the Union. @Runman292 I was gonna say that's just since I moved here, lol! But Jax is right. 

Living in East Tennessee reminds me of living in eastern Kansas. Things get rockin' in the western part of the state, sometimes middle. Then the leftovers roll through at night. Occasionally it does start east and we get tornadoes too. Otherwise just like I now drive southwest to North Alabama, I used to drive southwest toward Wichita. 

Which brings us to Monday. Still looks possible Mid-South. Euro has the ol' east crap-out. Fresh 12Z GFS keeps it going. A lower scenario option is always the classic midday MCS shut-down. We'll see.

[Carvers Gap]

I will say this....in NE TN, many of the tornadoes have been daytime recently.  The one that did $30k worth of hail damage to my house was during the day.  Now, when I lived in Knoxville...it was almost all nighttime.  NE TN has to almost have a sustained SW to NE track of whatever system is required to produce tornado activity here.  Derecho stuff sometimes will do it from the NW.  But it requires a huge SW fetch to get that type of severe into NE TN.  IDK...maybe that is why daytime threats are worse here.  Knoxville and points west...totally different animal.  I don't even know if I can name a daytime threat in Knoxville, but remember having to go to the basement many times as a kid at night during crazy bad storms.  The '93 outbreak(college at UT at the time) I am pretty sure was evening or night...maybe during a Friends season final episode.