Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion

[mikeeng92]

1 hour ago, wasnow215 said:

I run a convenience store and the plow people that are coming in for coffee and stuff are saying the roads are the worst they've seen. It's gotta be because of the extreme cold and the salt and stuff are just not gonna do the job..., and it's January 25 if it was February 25 it might be different

It’s pretty bad. The snow stuck immediately and now it’s all  compressed down. 

[winterwxfan]

13 minutes ago, Conway7305 said:

anyone know the total ice forecast later today or has that been lowered.  Hopefully so.  

 

Not sure of your location, but for richmond, 15z HRRR shows  0.42, 12Z 3K NAM shows 0.23, and 12Z GFS shows 0.13.  These are ice accretion numbers from Pivotal. 

[SoCoWx]

Still kind of a somber vibe in here, so I’ll focus on the silver lining.

I know there’s several hours of storm left, but it looks like Richmond may have escaped a pretty significant ice storm thus far.

Roads will still be tricky for a few days, given the cold temps.

But the trees and power lines seem okay so far. Hopefully we can hold onto power (and by extension, water).


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[SoCoWx]

Not sure of your location, but for richmond, 15z HRRR shows  0.42, 12Z 3K NAM shows 0.23, and 12Z GFS shows 0.13.  These are ice accretion numbers from Pivotal. 

Those are significantly lower than what the Euro and GFS were saying?


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[JB Fins]

First thing I noticed this morning over coffee, even before Frieden pointed it out, trees were bare, so it being a dry, pixie dust type of snow, likely will help.  Yes, seems like dialing back on ice a bit.  I am monitoring the Dominion map on my other screen to see if a pattern emerges, right now just ticked up to close to 3,500 out from 2,700 and number of projects doubled, but that is from a big swath with 2.8 million customers.

Right now, majority of that is Newport News.  Will monitor to see if a trend or march continues westward.

[winterwxfan]

8 minutes ago, SoCoWx said:

Those are significantly lower than what the Euro and GFS were saying?


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You can see the euro error in real time.  if you look at the 06z euro it shows 0.69 storm total, however it shows 0.26 at 15z (10am), which is clearly incorrect, and 0.38 at 18z (1pm), which I'm still sleet near short pump at 11:30am, so at least some of that additional 0.12 between 15z and 18z is wrong.  Fingers crossed here, we hang on to sleet as long as possible.

[mikeeng92]

16 minutes ago, winterwxfan said:

You can see the euro error in real time.  if you look at the 06z euro it shows 0.69 storm total, however it shows 0.26 at 15z (10am), which is clearly incorrect, and 0.38 at 18z (1pm), which I'm still sleet near short pump at 11:30am, so at least some of that additional 0.12 between 15z and 18z is wrong.  Fingers crossed here, we hang on to sleet as long as possible.

MPING report just came in for ZR in New Kent. Def marching west 

[Deep Creek]

1 minute ago, mikeeng92 said:

MPING report just came in for ZR in New Kent. Def marching west 

Hopefully we’ve dodged the bullet with the worst case ZR amounts. Just went outside here in N Chesterfield and it’s still sleet. Temp at 19. That slug of moisture to the west is somewhat worrisome with temps only getting to the mid 20s if it is indeed ZR by then.

[Rvarookie]

Good sledding out

[DownS.EasternVa]

Too bad all our snow got washed away, but it seems as though the 2nd round of precip is trending colder for Hampton Roads. My temps in Portsmouth have dropped from 41 to 35, since winds have flipped. The HRRR now has sleet or freezing rain pushing back into Norfolk, and the 12z GFS also have a small amount of measurable frozen precip fall between 7p-1a. Maybe I'm just wish-casting at this point but maybe something interesting.... 

[mikeeng92]

We have the ice thunderstorm freezing squall line thing to look forward to later 

[DownS.EasternVa]

1 minute ago, mikeeng92 said:

We have the ice thunderstorm freezing squall line thing to look forward to later 

 

Yeah I think this could be a pretty cool event, thunder sleet or thunder graupel isn't something you get often. 

[winterwxfan]

Any reliable reports where the zr line is?  Still all sleet here near short pump, and pouring.

[mikeeng92]

Just heard from a plow operator in the east end of Henrico. Freezing rain has begun with instant accretion.

[rbrewbaker]

7 minutes ago, mikeeng92 said:

Just heard from a plow operator in the east end of Henrico. Freezing rain has begun with instant accretion.

still all sleet and rather heavy at the moment near Carytown

[Inudaw]

Still sleet here near the airport too....

 

[eaglesin2011]

Definitely is some  frz rain mixing now here in Short pump & 295 hopefully can keep the heavier returns and avoid just plain freezing rain

[overcautionisbad]

North Chesterfield. Correction, might be some freezing rain, but majority is definitely small sleet still. 

[overcautionisbad]

VERY IMPORTANT

 

Richmond is not out of the woods yet. Tv mets are warning freezing rain was not expected to have impacted power yet and that is still to come

[wasnow215]

2 hours ago, SoCoWx said:

Those are significantly lower than what the Euro and GFS were saying?


.

The issue will be how windy it gets man. I don't know where it is now but there was a table put out there that showed even if you have .25 inches of freezing rain and you get 30 mph winds it could be catastrophic. And that's the kind of winds we're supposed to have tomorrow

[overcautionisbad]

NBC12 still forecasts 0.25-0.50 inch of freezing rain from 3pm-9pm

 

Gotta figure what I'm going to do for my workout today since the gym is closed. Wait, my backup gym Crunch is open I think, but my 2wd truck probably wouldn't do well

[wasnow215]

4 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

The issue will be how windy it gets man. I don't know where it is now but there was a table put out there that showed even if you have .25 inches of freezing rain and you get 30 mph winds it could be catastrophic. And that's the kind of winds we're supposed to have tomorrow

It's called the Sperry Plitz freezing rain index- SPIA Index

[mikeeng92]

11 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said:

NBC12 still forecasts 0.25-0.50 inch of freezing rain from 3pm-9pm

 

Gotta figure what I'm going to do for my workout today since the gym is closed. Wait, my backup gym Crunch is open I think, but my 2wd truck probably wouldn't do well

Trudging through the sleet on a long walk 

[JB Fins]

9 minutes ago, mikeeng92 said:

Trudging through the sleet on a long walk 

Or shovel some of that concrete.  I woke up with my back out from chopping wood yesterday, managed to shovel most of the walk, but where it drifted from a dormer, my side stoop stairway, up to a foot on the steps.  Frequent breaks, but managed to get through it.  Open door for pug (not in the avatar, that was Bogey my first boy) but Percy came out looked around and high tailed it back in, spoiled dog.

[JB Fins]

I will say, numbers from Dominion are good.  Actually down from the peak.  Only 3,449 people out, again Richmond area under 100.  I know we are early, but fingers crossed.  Really don't feel like firing up generator and running extension cords to insure I can watch the games.

[Deep Creek]

Still mostly sleet here, but starting to see some glaze accretion on mailboxes and shrubs.

[snowchill]

Dumping sleet

[Conway7305]

I swear, I think we’ve had at least about an inch or so of sleet

[Sernest14]

this band of sleet is intense

[CentralVaGirl]

I never expected to be so grateful for sleet. FR holding off west Richmond so far, 2-3" sleet. Expect to see ice on shrubs soon, but so far they are dry and clear. Weather Underground app calls for precip to end around 8 PM. We can hope!