Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion

[mikeeng92]

1 hour ago, wasnow215 said:

I run a convenience store and the plow people that are coming in for coffee and stuff are saying the roads are the worst they've seen. It's gotta be because of the extreme cold and the salt and stuff are just not gonna do the job..., and it's January 25 if it was February 25 it might be different

It’s pretty bad. The snow stuck immediately and now it’s all  compressed down. 

[winterwxfan]

13 minutes ago, Conway7305 said:

anyone know the total ice forecast later today or has that been lowered.  Hopefully so.  

 

Not sure of your location, but for richmond, 15z HRRR shows  0.42, 12Z 3K NAM shows 0.23, and 12Z GFS shows 0.13.  These are ice accretion numbers from Pivotal. 

[SoCoWx]

Still kind of a somber vibe in here, so I’ll focus on the silver lining.

I know there’s several hours of storm left, but it looks like Richmond may have escaped a pretty significant ice storm thus far.

Roads will still be tricky for a few days, given the cold temps.

But the trees and power lines seem okay so far. Hopefully we can hold onto power (and by extension, water).


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[SoCoWx]

Not sure of your location, but for richmond, 15z HRRR shows  0.42, 12Z 3K NAM shows 0.23, and 12Z GFS shows 0.13.  These are ice accretion numbers from Pivotal. 

Those are significantly lower than what the Euro and GFS were saying?


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[JB Fins]

First thing I noticed this morning over coffee, even before Frieden pointed it out, trees were bare, so it being a dry, pixie dust type of snow, likely will help.  Yes, seems like dialing back on ice a bit.  I am monitoring the Dominion map on my other screen to see if a pattern emerges, right now just ticked up to close to 3,500 out from 2,700 and number of projects doubled, but that is from a big swath with 2.8 million customers.

Right now, majority of that is Newport News.  Will monitor to see if a trend or march continues westward.

[winterwxfan]

8 minutes ago, SoCoWx said:

Those are significantly lower than what the Euro and GFS were saying?


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You can see the euro error in real time.  if you look at the 06z euro it shows 0.69 storm total, however it shows 0.26 at 15z (10am), which is clearly incorrect, and 0.38 at 18z (1pm), which I'm still sleet near short pump at 11:30am, so at least some of that additional 0.12 between 15z and 18z is wrong.  Fingers crossed here, we hang on to sleet as long as possible.

[mikeeng92]

16 minutes ago, winterwxfan said:

You can see the euro error in real time.  if you look at the 06z euro it shows 0.69 storm total, however it shows 0.26 at 15z (10am), which is clearly incorrect, and 0.38 at 18z (1pm), which I'm still sleet near short pump at 11:30am, so at least some of that additional 0.12 between 15z and 18z is wrong.  Fingers crossed here, we hang on to sleet as long as possible.

MPING report just came in for ZR in New Kent. Def marching west 

[Deep Creek]

1 minute ago, mikeeng92 said:

MPING report just came in for ZR in New Kent. Def marching west 

Hopefully we’ve dodged the bullet with the worst case ZR amounts. Just went outside here in N Chesterfield and it’s still sleet. Temp at 19. That slug of moisture to the west is somewhat worrisome with temps only getting to the mid 20s if it is indeed ZR by then.

[Rvarookie]

Good sledding out

[DownS.EasternVa]

Too bad all our snow got washed away, but it seems as though the 2nd round of precip is trending colder for Hampton Roads. My temps in Portsmouth have dropped from 41 to 35, since winds have flipped. The HRRR now has sleet or freezing rain pushing back into Norfolk, and the 12z GFS also have a small amount of measurable frozen precip fall between 7p-1a. Maybe I'm just wish-casting at this point but maybe something interesting.... 

[mikeeng92]

We have the ice thunderstorm squall line thing to look forward to later