benjammin Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago If I were smart I'd go to sleep now before Dr. No crushes dreams.Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Nah, I'm a night owl anyway. I'll be up to see this Euro. I might need to double check my generator tomorrow. Got a bit of propane ready for my indoor safe propane heaters. I hope Euro runs earlier were wrong. Not because I want snow (I do), but I would rather have just rain than ice. It will be bad if it is. It will cause damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Big shock, the Euro is not good news for those south of EZF who want snow. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Wow. Euro is barely a front end thump of snow for VA, then ZR for most except for the coast where we're all (thankfully) just rain. ZR even makes its way up to DC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Major Ice Storm for VA this run of the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago For parts of VA. Hopefully most of that will actually be sleet. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Starting to wonder if euro seeing sleet as freezing rain. Insane numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 00z Euro has an absolute Miller A coastal low for the next threat this run! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 148 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 NCZ014-031-VAZ095>098-100-524-525-221500- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0001.260124T1800Z-260126T1800Z/ Gates-Chowan-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach- Northampton-Newport News-Hampton/Poquoson- 148 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Confidence is increasing in widespread snow, sleet, and freezing rain. This may result in moderate to major impacts in infrastructure and transportation. * WHERE...Portions of northeast North Carolina and eastern and southeast Virginia. * WHEN...From Saturday afternoon through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, may become slick and hazardous. Ice accumulation on power lines and tree limbs may result in power outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 148 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 MDZ024-025-NCZ012-013-030-VAZ065>067-076>090-092-093-099-514-516-518- 520-522-523-221500- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0001.260124T1800Z-260126T1800Z/ Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-Northampton-Hertford-Bertie- Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster- Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Prince George (including Hopewell and Petersburg)-Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews- Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight- Accomack-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-Eastern Henrico-Eastern King William-Eastern King and Queen-Eastern Essex- York- 148 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Confidence is increasing in widespread snow, sleet, and freezing rain. This may result in major impacts in infrastructure and transportation. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Maryland, northeast North Carolina, and central, east central, eastern, south central, and southeast Virginia. * WHEN...From Saturday afternoon through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. The combination of significant snow and ice accumulation on power lines and tree limbs may cause widespread and long-lasting power outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 148 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 MDZ021>023-VAZ048-060>062-064-068-069-075-509>513-515-517-519-521- 221500- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0001.260124T1800Z-260126T1800Z/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland- Goochland-Caroline-Amelia-Powhatan-Westmoreland-Western Louisa- Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield-Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)- Western King William-Western King and Queen-Western Essex- 148 AM EST Thu Jan 22 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Confidence is increasing in widespread snow, sleet, and freezing rain. This may result in major impacts in infrastructure and transportation. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Maryland and central, east central, and north central Virginia. * WHEN...From Saturday afternoon through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. The combination of significant snow and ice accumulation on power lines and tree limbs may cause widespread and long-lasting power outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Welp, gonna test my generator tomorrow. @#$% Who would've thought the Canadian would kind of be right days ago. The continued drought of major snow for RVA is pretty wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Wakefield on the ice threat: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Thanks for dropping in Yoda and posting those, per usual. Always appreciate those who remember mid-Atlantic extends beyond DC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago I am promising myself that I am not going to get as invested into this potential as I did in this weekend's storm and it's still far out, but ... We have a more southwest-based block on the mean, as well as a positive PNA instead of a negative/neutral PNA. We were always relying on overrunning this weekend, which the early phase out west messed up, but this is more of a classic coastal storm look. And maybe less likely to trend NW if we get anything because of the strong blocking. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Yeah, have to remind myself to take a step back as well. We had signs and feelings that this would be like 2003 and really looking that way. It’s still winter weather and will hope against hope that all in this sub forum don’t get any freezing rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago legitimately concerning. my gut feeling is that the worst of the freezing rain ends up in southwest VA into western NC and the western half of the southside (Danville/Martinsville area) and we get more sleet than freezing rain, but regardless, someone might get an inch of ice accretion from this. The main thread does think the Euro is counting a lot of sleet as freezing rain. Note: this is the estimate of actual ice accretion, not QPF falling as freezing rain which is overdonee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Yeah, TV Mets seem to be leaning that way as well. Just based on history, seems to make sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Was anyone around for the February 1994 ice storm? Saw that storm mentioned as an analog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago gfs still has a foot for us around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I would say based on climo southern areas will get the most ice while we see a sleet fest. Question is how much of a front end thump do we get before the changeover. We’ll see. Won’t know until gamtime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said: Would love for this to be right but just not buying these high end totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Yeah, I was living on Gaskins Road for 1994 ice storm. Treacherous event but short in duration. My car skidded home that night and I could not make it up the hill next day to mar my shift and Ukrop’s Fresh Express. It melted pretty quick. So not like this one is projected. 1999 Super Bowl storm was more damaging and impactful, hope we don’t do that type of event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Euro ticked S 6z run. The NAM had changeover sooner, but it’s the NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 hours ago, chris624wx said: 00z Euro has an absolute Miller A coastal low for the next threat this run! One day, somehow one good model run will verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago OTBS, if RVA gets that 7” snowfall, breaks the drought of 6” plus and should put us over climo with still chances and time for more. I did not have that on my bingo card for a forecasted Nina winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago So for the Richmond to Lynchburg folks, we're looking at 2"+ of ice, or 12"+ of snow, or some mixture thereof with sleet as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 35 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Euro ticked S 6z run. The NAM had changeover sooner, but it’s the NAM. Seems like Euro has been making small ticks south. See if that continues. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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