benjammin Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago ^Apparently not until 0Z. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago GEFS says hold up! More amped and has more mixing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 16 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: who the heck knows. 18z gfs. doesn’t phase the Baja low as much Need to run that map again at 120 hr to capture the backside snows for Hampton Roads 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago I’m not ruling out a s shift again. Who knows. BTW. Here are the 12z Ukmet ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago For clarity sake Data ingest is ONGOING and will be available for the 00z runs TONIGHT (00z 1/22) There has been NO RECON DATA FOR TODAY (1/21). From MA forum. Game time tonight. We should get a real sense if there is a north trend or this was just a blip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago It will be interesting to see if the models change any once more data from aircraft has been ingested into it mainly the handle of Baja and then northern stream 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Euro is a slight bump north... :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 inches of front end snow then Ice storm per 18z Euro . It’s been trending N every single run…:/ I honestly feel like when this is all said and done. Southern PA is gonna be mixing and we’re gonna end up being mostly rain. You can’t discount the trends here. Sorry to be a downer. Have no clue what GFS sees…..lol I will stay up for the 0Z to see if the new data will change things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago The weather doesn't care what I want, but I'm fond of heat and electricity. I'll gladly take the sleet bomb over this. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Bet that front end is under done. We least over perform and then underperform that’s what we do 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 30 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: 2 inches of front end snow then Ice storm per 18z Euro . It’s been trending N every single run…:/ I honestly feel like when this is all said and done. Southern PA is gonna be mixing and we’re gonna end up being mostly rain. You can’t discount the trends here. Sorry to be a downer. Have no clue what GFS sees…..lol I will stay up for the 0Z to see if the new data will change things It’s handling of the Baja and phasing. Also interaction with the NS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago hmmmmm. this is interesting with 18z AIFS euro ensembles. Paints a completely different picture. I have no clue as to the reliability on the AIFS or their ensembles, but they both look great. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 11 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: hmmmmm. this is interesting with 18z AIFS euro ensembles. Paints a completely different picture. I have no clue as to the reliability on the AIFS or their ensembles, but they both look great. It's actually had a good verification score from things I was reading in the main thread. Always easier to be negative than positive but I still don't think a final solution has been settled. Still 72 hours out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Yea they're legit. Nice to see them more in line with the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Ukie, AIFS, GFS in our snow corner lol. At least there's a few. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted 43 minutes ago Share Posted 43 minutes ago NAM is really amped and pushes the mix line north fast. To be fair its the NAM at range... (However, it's only slightly worse than 18z) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted 39 minutes ago Share Posted 39 minutes ago 3 minutes ago, Ephesians2 said: NAM is really amped and pushes the mix line north fast. To be fair its the NAM at range... (However, it's only slightly worse than 18z) Yep-Needs til Saturday evening to be in its wheelhouse 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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