Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion

[RVASnowLover]

Veratim, a short thump, quick changeover to what would be a crippling ice storm

[JB Fins]

I would rather have nothing and let the DC crew have their snow.  I love winter weather but not at this potential cost.

[RVASnowLover]

I'd rather have a plain cold rain than the ice storm Euro is showing. Maybe it's overdone but still

[mikeeng92]

Even if you cut the zr QPF in half for sleet, it’s bad . 

[chris624wx]

Yikes for most of y'all! Glad to be on the coast if Euro verifies! 

[JB Fins]

Well, we still have a couple of days, praying for a better solution, including a shutout.

[Hyphnx]

I am just going to prepare to lose power for a week. Not a good feeling about any of this.

GFS looked decent though.

[RVASnowLover]

Can only hope EURO backs off from this solution tonight when more data has been ingested. 

[JFLETCHER]

I think all of us are in for a snow to sleet/freezing rain event. Even up here in Caroline county, it could get ugly. I can't remember the last time we had 20 degrees and sleet or freezing rain. I hope the focus goes from snowstorm to life-threatening ice storm if the current trends continue. The arctic air after the storm is another big story.

[Ephesians2]

NAM is going to be at least a SLIGHT improvement from what I've seen in the main thread

[Ephesians2]

4 minutes ago, Ephesians2 said:

NAM is going to be at least a SLIGHT improvement from what I've seen in the main thread

I will leave the upper level analysis to people who know more about it, but the precip shield and mix line moved South at least 50 miles at 78h

It is still going to be more amplified than we would like it but it is an improvement.

[RVASnowLover]

NAM is out of range so take it with a grain of salt but it had a nice front end thump. 

[mikeeng92]

From Allan Huffman

[wasnow215]

16 minutes ago, mikeeng92 said:

From Allan Huffman

I'm reading this wrong?-it looks like he has RVA in "A"

[mikeeng92]

3 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

I'm reading this wrong?-it looks like he has RVA in "A"

He does. I don’t subscribe to his Patreon to see the full explanation.

[JB Fins]

Yeah, I hope he is right but everything we have seen in the main thread, it would look like this map was made on Monday.

[wasnow215]

5 minutes ago, JB Fins said:

Yeah, I hope he is right but everything we have seen in the main thread, it would look like this map was made on Monday.

And he just released it today it's not like it was from yesterday

[JB Fins]

I just ordered a few non-electric portable heaters, so, expect this to trend back to more snow than ice, just doing my part. 

[Rvarookie]

The models are struggling with the foreign data sampled into it. Just needs another day to normalize it. We be good 

[wasnow215]

And of course the 18Z GFS is pretty much all snow lol. Nobody knows what's gonna happen

[CavalierHoo]

5 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

And of course the 18Z GFS is pretty much all snow lol. Nobody knows what's gonna happen

More importantly it looks like the jackpot area moved further south again.  Hope this is true.  I don't care if I get a foot of snow.  I just dont want an inch of ice.  Please.

 

[Rvarookie]

We suck at extreme weather so can’t buy massive ice or massive snow. Given the temps you got to trust that we do what we do best. Solid front end thump and finish it off with mostly sleet 

[Conway7305]

who the heck knows.  18z gfs.  doesn’t phase the Baja low as much 

[Conway7305]

GFS Ensembles were south too

[Rvarookie]

Here we go

[benjammin]

Check please.

Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

[ldub23]

6 minutes ago, Conway7305 said:

who the heck knows.  18z gfs.  doesn’t phase the Baja low as much 

SEVA will need  2 more  jumps south

[Conway7305]

anybody know if the GFS had the new reconnaissance data  ingested today?

[chris624wx]

Nice back end thump of snow down in Southside HR on 18z GFS!

[RVASnowLover]

Happy hour GFS to the rescue!