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Texas/Oklahoma 2023 Obs and Discussion


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1 hour ago, Powerball said:

Seems both San Antonio and Houston officially broke their 100*F streak today.

Austin eeked out an intra-hour 100*F before getting an outer band of t'storms from Harold.

Depressing. Today was supposed to be Houston' day to tie 2011's consecutive 100°F streak, and we'd break it tomorrow. A week at least more, Thursday forecast at 107°F. Cloudy, a few showers, upper 90s.

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15 minutes ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said:

Depressing. Today was supposed to be Houston' day to tie 2011's consecutive 100°F streak, and we'd break it tomorrow. A week at least more, Thursday forecast at 107°F. Cloudy, a few showers, upper 90s.

Pouring salt on the wound, it seems both Conroe's airport and Hooks both made it to 100*F.

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21 hours ago, Powerball said:

Houston apparently made it to 109*F

Meanwhile, DFW broke more records as well with a high of 107*F and a low of 84*F (previous records were 106*F and 82*F respectively in 2011).

And thunderstorms developed at dusk.  IAG got 0.01, the first measurable rainfall in 7 weeks, I'd guesstimate half an inch on the lawn, and there a lot of wind.  Electricity came back at 2 am.  Sleeping w/o AC, how did people survive the 19th Century?

 

40 degree T/Td spread, 2 reports to SPC for wind in Harris County.

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NWS forecast is 108°F tomorrow, but my daughter said the TV forecast (she thinks it was AccuWeather, that would be Channel 13) said an all time record of 110°F  20% chance of storms.  I didn't think it was possible to have a ridge strong enough for that kind of heat and have convection.  When I lived in DFW, the really hot days there wasn't a cloud.

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On 8/25/2023 at 4:41 PM, Powerball said:

Well what do you know...

To my shock, DFW achieved the seemingly impossible 110*F high today (which, needless to say, is also another record high for the day).

First time since 8/2/2011.

And today has ended up being double take of yesterday...

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Something that may get lost in the conversation for DFW is that whlle 2023 Met Summer may be hotter than 1998 and 2022 on paper:

1. 2022 tied for the hottest May-June-July on record (with 1998).

2. While 1998, 2011 and 1980 were wall-to-wall torches from start to finish, 2022 was decidedly front-loaded while 2023 has been decidedly back-loaded.

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DFW managed to eek out another 100*F today despite increased cloud cover and a quicker frontal passage. With that, 2023 also ties with 2022 for 47 100*F+ days.

Just need 1 more before August ends to crack the top 10 list for the most in a month. It's going to be a tall order, but it seems Thursday will offer the best shot.

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While the heat has eased up somewhat the past few days (thankfully), we could really use some rain. Most of the state has not seen a drop of rain in the past two weeks. Most of the OKC metro has seen less than an inch of rain in the past seven weeks. We haven't even had a cloudy day in quite some time. The long stretches of hot, dry, sunny weather really get to me after a while.

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DFW Summer 2023 summary:

*3rd warmest on record with an average of 88.7*F (only behind 1980 and 2011)

*3rd highest average high on record of 99.4*F (only behind 1980 and 2011)

*3rd highest average low on record of 78*F (only behind 2011 and 2022).

*4th driest on record with only 1.25" of rain.

*Tied for 2nd driest August on record with only a T of precipitation (2000 is the driest with 0.00" precipitation).

*6th warmest July on record with average of 89.3*F

*2nd warmest August on record with an average of 92.9*F (only behind 2011).

*47 days (and counting) of 100*F+ highs, tied with 2022 (so far) for the 6th highest in a year.

*44 days (and counting) of 80*F+ lows, 2nd highest in a year (only behind 2011 with 55 days)

*Hit 110*F twice (8/25 and 8/26), first time since 8/2/2011 and both being the 2nd + 3rd latest ever observed (latest being 9/4/2000).

*6th highest number of consecutive 100*F+ days on record (tied with 2022).

*26 days (and counting) of 105*F+ highs, 2nd highest on record behind 1980 (so far) with 28 days.

*All-time record maximum low of 86*F tied twice (8/7 and 8/8).

*Longest streak of consecutive 85*F+ lows on record with 6 days total (previous 3 records all tied for 2 days in 2011).

*Longest consecutive duration of 80*F+ temps on record (previous record set in 1998 with 358 hours).

*Highest number of days with a heat index of 110*F+ on record

*Tied (with 1980) for the highest heat index ever recorded of 117*F.

*Tied for the highest dewpoint ever recorded (80*F) on 6/15, the 2nd earliest on record in a year (earliest being 6/14) and the highest on record since 1997.

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21 hours ago, Powerball said:

DFW Summer 2023 summary:

*3rd warmest on record with an average of 88.7*F (only behind 1980 and 2011)

*3rd highest average high on record of 99.4*F (only behind 1980 and 2011)

*3rd highest average low on record of 78*F (only behind 2011 and 2022).

*4th driest on record with only 1.25" of rain.

*Tied for 2nd driest August on record with only a T of precipitation (2000 is the driest with 0.00" precipitation).

*6th warmest July on record with average of 89.3*F

*2nd warmest August on record with an average of 92.9*F (only behind 2011).

*47 days (and counting) of 100*F+ highs, tied with 2022 (so far) for the 6th highest in a year.

*44 days (and counting) of 80*F+ lows, 2nd highest in a year (only behind 2011 with 55 days)

*Hit 110*F twice (8/25 and 8/26), first time since 8/2/2011 and both being the 2nd + 3rd latest ever observed (latest being 9/4/2000).

*6th highest number of consecutive 100*F+ days on record (tied with 2022).

*26 days (and counting) of 105*F+ highs, 2nd highest on record behind 1980 (so far) with 28 days.

*All-time record maximum low of 86*F tied twice (8/7 and 8/8).

*Longest streak of consecutive 85*F+ lows on record with 6 days total (previous 3 records all tied for 2 days in 2011).

*Longest consecutive duration of 80*F+ temps on record (previous record set in 1998 with 358 hours).

*Highest number of days with a heat index of 110*F+ on record

*Tied (with 1980) for the highest heat index ever recorded of 117*F.

*Tied for the highest dewpoint ever recorded (80*F) on 6/15, the 2nd earliest on record in a year (earliest being 6/14) and the highest on record since 1997.

Also, 2023 is now the only top 10 hottest Summer for DFW to occur during an El Nino.

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HGX fire weather disco expressing some concern for t-storms drifting into inland SE Texas for lightning strikes and gusty winds, and not much rain.  POPs as high as 60% in Houston proper, but I doubt that, somehow.  I believe August was 0.01 inches of rain for August at IAH, I know Hobby received a trace, setting a monthly record for no rain.  Hi Res NAM would suggest 20% anywhere, HRRR shows a nice storm late tomorrow for Houston, but it also look no better than 20% area wide.  

 

https://www.cbsnews.com/texas/news/4000-acre-wildfire-triggers-evacuations-in-walker-county/

 

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8 hours ago, Powerball said:

This weekend's forecast is turning into a bust for DFW, in a good way.

In an odd way, it's thanks to Idalia.

Plenty of cloud cover and many areas saw a modest amount of rain.

Yet, DFW still made it to 100*F, officially cracking the top 5 list for the number of days in a year (48) and surpassing 2022.

(still no measurable rain as of 4pm)

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2 hours ago, Powerball said:

Plenty of cloud cover and many areas saw a modest amount of rain.

Yet, DFW still made it to 100*F, officially cracking the top 5 list for the number of days in a year (48) and surpassing 2022.

(still no measurable rain as of 4pm)

More storms are developing over DFW. Surely it can't miss this time...

EDIT: Indeed, DFW picked up 0.20"

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