CoastalWx Posted April 2, 2023 Share Posted April 2, 2023 Completely missed CT and got areas wedged lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 2, 2023 Author Share Posted April 2, 2023 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Completely missed CT and got areas wedged lol. Yeah isn’t that something. Pretty bizarre. Have to go back and re-assess everything. Pretty wild it just split and died into CT. Going to guess what helped northern sections was maybe being closer to the s/w forcing and down into NJ they had higher dewpoints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 2, 2023 Share Posted April 2, 2023 9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Yeah isn’t that something. Pretty bizarre. Have to go back and re-assess everything. Pretty wild it just split and died into CT. Going to guess what helped northern sections was maybe being closer to the s/w forcing and down into NJ they had higher dewpoints. Pretty good s/w forcing for us though. NAM did have better MU CAPE north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 2, 2023 Share Posted April 2, 2023 1 fail down. Plenty more to go! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted April 2, 2023 Share Posted April 2, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: 1 fail down. Plenty more to go! . I didn’t even pay attention to this crap, I knew it would fail. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 2, 2023 Share Posted April 2, 2023 6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: . I didn’t even pay attention to this crap, I knew it would fail. Well wasn’t for us anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 2, 2023 Author Share Posted April 2, 2023 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Pretty good s/w forcing for us though. NAM did have better MU CAPE north. I think the plume of steeper apse rates was north which may have helped with the better MUCAPE north. Maybe the southern batch robbed what moisture was available farther north? The models though were pretty consistent in nailing the areas that got nailed. I thought we would at least see something better across western MA and western CT. But overall, a pretty decent event down into NJ/DE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 2, 2023 Share Posted April 2, 2023 Did cold SSTs have any effect dampening the convection? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted April 2, 2023 Share Posted April 2, 2023 4 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Completely missed CT and got areas wedged lol. 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: 1 fail down. Plenty more to go! We’re in a slump. No other way to put it. Nothing interesting statewide in quite some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 2, 2023 Author Share Posted April 2, 2023 5 hours ago, Torch Tiger said: Did cold SSTs have any effect dampening the convection? I don't think so because even moving into eastern NY the line didn't have any juice. Wondering if there was maybe some subsidence or maybe an enhanced area of dry air? I know when I was looking at this initially some days back some soundings within the region had a quite a bit of dry air (which of course was associated with the dry slot) with enhanced moisture convergence along the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 2, 2023 Share Posted April 2, 2023 59 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I don't think so because even moving into eastern NY the line didn't have any juice. Wondering if there was maybe some subsidence or maybe an enhanced area of dry air? I know when I was looking at this initially some days back some soundings within the region had a quite a bit of dry air (which of course was associated with the dry slot) with enhanced moisture convergence along the front. Subsidence and Meh day time heating I think. Also not a lot of humidity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 2, 2023 Author Share Posted April 2, 2023 Just now, TalcottWx said: Subsidence and Meh day time heating I think. Also not a lot of humidity I don't think heating was the issue and the "humidity" is relative. I'm trying to go back to the SPC mesoanalysis archive to see regional obs yesterday but it's not working. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstoned Posted April 2, 2023 Share Posted April 2, 2023 Pretty good light show, Wilbraham. And some small hail mixed in with the downpour. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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