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June 2022


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2 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

New York City is concluding a somewhat cooler than normal June, though much of the region saw near or somewhat above normal temperatures. In Central Park, the mean temperature was 71.4°, which was 0.6° below normal.

Tomorrow will likely be the hottest day of the week. Many locations will see temperatures top out in the lower and perhaps middle 90s. Parts of the region could even experience a heatwave from tomorrow through Saturday.

Afterward, it will be somewhat cooler. The first 10 days of July could see near normal readings overall in the Northeast. However, the month will likely wind up somewhat warmer than normal.

Galveston is now wrapping up its third consecutive record warm month. The last time that happened was June-September 2020 in Oracle, AZ and Tucson. Anchorage is also concluding its first June on record where the high temperature reached or exceeded 60° on all 30 days.

During June 16-20, the MJO has been in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.500 or above. Of the six cases that saw such an outcome during June 15-25 (1988, 2003, 2010, 2012, 2017 and 2020), four had a warmer than normal July, one was somewhat cooler than normal and one was cooler than normal.

The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America. Based on how the pattern has been evolving during the spring transition to summer, it is more likely than not that the warmest anomalies of the summer will likely occur in July and August with June being the coolest of the three months in the Northeast. The latest ECMWF monthly forecast indicates that July will be warmer than June relative to normal and that August will be the warmest summer month relative to normal.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.6°C for the week centered around June 22. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.82°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the summer.

The SOI was +24.39 today. The old daily record was +21.58 in 2009)

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.487 today.

On June 28 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 1.556 (RMM). The June 27-adjusted amplitude was 1.921 (RMM).

 

Yes most of the area was very close to normal, the exception Newark which is about 1.6 degrees above normal.

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HOW IT LOOKED AT THE  3:30PM PEAK:         Sea Breeze won out here in CI and I held at 78 in the PM, till late re-flux from City etc.      Reached 82 near 7pm.

 

1656617400-gIvlPBwTJeY.png

 

LOOK MA!    I ACED EVERY TEST WITH EXTRA CREDIT YET!!!      eke............................

1656612000-7KJxB340k6E.png

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