WHEATCENT Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Interested to see how low we get tonight already at °7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Clipper / lake enhancement are looking a bit more interesting late tonight through Sunday afternoon...the strongest lift with the clipper will probably be somewhere south of US 30, perhaps towards I-70. Could be a quick 2-4" of fluffy snow down there. I think north of US 30 we get a quick 1-2" with the clipper on Sunday. The exception is lake enhanced / effect snow. A decent west-east convergence band looks to develop late tonight into Erie County and then gradually push south into Sunday, probably getting into NE Cuyahoga, Lake, and northern Geauga before breaking up into more disorganized multi-bands through Sunday afternoon that will wind down Sunday evening. The lake enhanced band may be quite intense with the synoptic snow from the clipper on top of strong convergence, EL heights of 7-8k feet, a light flow and very good snow growth yet again, especially into Erie and Chautauqua Counties. Could see 2" per hour rates. The band will gradually push through, but spots may get close to or more than the 6" warning criteria quickly before it sags inland. Could see a need to expand advisories into more of the primary NE Ohio Snowbelt too, but the band will be weakening slowly and moving a bit quicker here...however, between the synoptic snow and lake enhanced band sagging in could see the route 6 corridor getting 3-5" in less than 12 hours which would warrant a headline. We shall see! The best of Monday's clipper may go to our north but we should all get some more snow. YNG hit -9 and HZY hit -11. Had a co-op in northwestern Crawford County PA that hit -15 this morning. Many backyard wx stations -10 to -15F in rural areas from Summit, Geauga and Stark Cos points east, with a few cold spots in Ashtabula Co getting to near -20F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 The NWS here in Summit just issued a Hazardous Outlook. Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Cleveland OH 158 PM EST Sat Jan 22 2022 OHZ003-006>011-013-018>023-033-PAZ003-231900- Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Geauga-Seneca-Huron- Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Mahoning-Crawford- 158 PM EST Sat Jan 22 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. A clipper system will bring widespread light snow for northern Ohio into northwest Pennsylvania late tonight into Sunday. 1 to 3 inches of snowfall is possible for much of the area. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. A clipper system will bring widespread light snow for northern Ohio into northwest Pennsylvania through Sunday evening. 1 to 3 inches of snowfall is possible for much of the area. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$ My area is forecast 1-3 Sunday and 1-3 Monday. So here's looking at 2-6 inches by Monday night! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 18z NAM and HRRR look pretty good for the first clipper. 3-5" across Northern Ohio. Nice to see the increase in precip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Definitely a trend to amp the clipper a bit more on today’s runs. May end up just being 2-4” across the board for all of northern Ohio. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Pretty sure we could just expand the advisory for Sunday to the entire CWA at this point...this is coming in more amped / north and the 0z hi-res models like 3-5" (locally a bit more with some LES) for all of northern OH now. Should be a nice fluff factor along with a brief period of moderate to heavy rates. Early stuff looks a bit south with Monday's clipper, perhaps due to Sunday's being a little stronger in front of it. The NAM has some LES behind the Monday clipper and a bit more LES Tuesday night into Wednesday, assuming there's enough moisture flux through the ice on the lake by that point. This could be trending to quite a snowy few days for northern OH into NW PA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Nice to wake up to snow falling and increased snow totals. Radar looks great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 My girlfriend lives in North Royalton and said the roads are awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Had 4.75" just as this last band moves through. Probably make a run at 5" before the night is over. Definitely a nice surprise. Let's see what tomorrow brings.... maybe a few more inches... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Got 4.5-5” of fluffy snow in Reminderville. The hills of the secondary Snowbelt in southern Cuyahoga, northern Medina and northwestern Summit got 6-8”. Another event that came in on the high side in what has quickly become a very snowy stretch for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 7 minutes ago, OHweather said: Got 4.5-5” of fluffy snow in Reminderville. The hills of the secondary Snowbelt in southern Cuyahoga, northern Medina and northwestern Summit got 6-8”. Another event that came in on the high side in what has quickly become a very snowy stretch for our area. What are your thoughts for Northern Ohio for this next clipper?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 hour ago, Frog Town said: What are your thoughts for Northern Ohio for this next clipper?? Enough lift for a quick shot of moderate snow. I like 1-3" for most of northern and central OH, though feel 1-2" is more common than 3" since it's quick moving and the lift is noticeably weaker than today's system. However, it'll briefly snow pretty decent from west to east late morning into the afternoon. Could be a freezing drizzle concern Monday evening across Ohio as the low-levels look moist ahead of a cold front but the mid-levels will be dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Picked up just over 5" yesterday. Backyard is getting buried... been awhile since we've had a snowpack like this. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Radar looks good for several hours of steady light to moderate snow across all of northern OH with this clipper today. I feel a little more optimistic, feel like 2-3" amounts will be more common than 1" amounts. I don't think it'll snow hard enough to get too much more but it's looking like a solid little event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Agree! 80-90 seems to be the jackpot for this one. Amazing how these don't really show their hands until the last minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 11 minutes ago, Frog Town said: Agree! 80-90 seems to be the jackpot for this one. Amazing how these don't really show their hands until the last minute. What kind of quality is the snow out there? Findlay and Toledo are reporting 1/2 to 3/4 mile visibility which is pretty decent, are the flakes the bigger ones that can stack up quicker? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 10 minutes ago, OHweather said: What kind of quality is the snow out there? Findlay and Toledo are reporting 1/2 to 3/4 mile visibility which is pretty decent, are the flakes the bigger ones that can stack up quicker? Exactly as you described. Returns are lining up right along 80-90 from Chicago to Cleveland... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Snow has started in Chagrin. Smaller flake size but snowing well under the lighter returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Solid light snow (but with smallish flakes) here right now too, started in the last half hour or so. If it does this until 7 or 8 PM and we grind out 2 or 3" I'd take it. Just adding to the pack at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 10 minutes ago, OHweather said: Solid light snow (but with smallish flakes) here right now too, started in the last half hour or so. If it does this until 7 or 8 PM and we grind out 2 or 3" I'd take it. Just adding to the pack at this point. Same here. Is the overnight 1-3 fc coming from lake effect? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 28 minutes ago, dta1984 said: Same here. Is the overnight 1-3 fc coming from lake effect? It is yes. It's not a great set-up, but there should be an uptick for several hours late tonight into early tomorrow and there will likely be some light accumulations in the Cleveland area and Snowbelt. Tomorrow night into Wednesday morning is actually a pretty good looking set-up for the primary snowbelt with a W or WNW flow and I think it'd easily be an advisory to warning event for Lake and northern Geauga on east, but we'll see if there's sufficient moisture flux through the increasing ice on the lake for that. There will be some LES either way, but I'm not sure if the ice will keep it in check. Seems like a pretty good set-up with a decently high inversion, light and well-aligned flow, and a good amount of moisture from Lake Michigan. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 2 hours ago, OHweather said: Solid light snow (but with smallish flakes) here right now too, started in the last half hour or so. If it does this until 7 or 8 PM and we grind out 2 or 3" I'd take it. Just adding to the pack at this point. Back and forth from light to moderate snow but the heavier returns are moving in. Just over an inch so far. This snow seems much more dense than yesterday. Wonder if the snow will last until the evening as the back edge looks to be in western ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 It does seem the snow moved through on the quick side...we may or may not have gotten to 2" here (I haven't measured and probably won't today), though it's close. Already some light freezing rain / mist being reported in north-central and northwest OH, hoping the snow and treatment for it that we got today prevents issues with that as it's quite cold with temps in the mid 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 58 minutes ago, OHweather said: It does seem the snow moved through on the quick side...we may or may not have gotten to 2" here (I haven't measured and probably won't today), though it's close. Already some light freezing rain / mist being reported in north-central and northwest OH, hoping the snow and treatment for it that we got today prevents issues with that as it's quite cold with temps in the mid 20s. Definitely faster than modeled. Looks like the last batch is forming out west and moving east. Almost a convective nature to the snow right now. It dumps large flakes under some of these returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectOH Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Got the better part of an inch today in Chesterland. Checked the radar and from what I can see, the back side is now moving in with some lake enhancement perhaps. Looks as if the back side may well be the more productive part for this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectOH Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 LEH is on! Ripping out here! Nice big flakes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 6 minutes ago, LakeEffectOH said: LEH is on! Ripping out here! Nice big flakes... Snow globe in Chagrin right now. Best snow of the day so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectOH Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Looked at the radar again...the heavier stuff looks as if it just blasted thru at 90mph, lol! Still snowing pretty good, but not as hard as a few minutes ago. Flakes have shrank some... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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