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Northern Ohio Obs/Discussion Part 2

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Still think that 3-6” is a good call locally. 6z nam was encouraging... along with a bump north in precip on most of the models. Just glad to be on the northern fringe for a change.

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I've got 1" so far this morning, snowing lightly, but looks to be a break soon.  

The Cle forecast and some short range models have an odd finger of higher accums in eastern Geauga.  Interested to see how this plays out. 

StormTotalSnowWeb.png

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Picked up another 1", 1-2 in the fc for the rest of the day.  

Looks like some arctic air makes an appearance next week.  That'll surely freeze the lake quickly.  

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44 minutes ago, dta1984 said:

Picked up another 1", 1-2 in the fc for the rest of the day.  

Looks like some arctic air makes an appearance next week.  That'll surely freeze the lake quickly.  

About the same here... we may squeeze out 3" over a 48 hour period. 

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Didn't get a chance to measure this morning, but looks to be around 2" new.  More than I expected looking at the radar, but ratios helped. 

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8 minutes ago, WHEATCENT said:

more rain and melting and highs at 35-39 just in time for bare ground and extreme artic air. 

 

image.thumb.png.d5306f16dea59fc334a104bee6a0b4f5.png

Not sure what you've got, but the bottom few inches out here is pretty solid.   I doubt it all melts... especially if the high temps come over night. 

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2 minutes ago, dta1984 said:

Not sure what you've got, but the bottom few inches out here is pretty solid.   I doubt it all melts... especially if the high temps come over night. 

still see grass poking here :(

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1 hour ago, WHEATCENT said:

still see grass poking here :(

We should get a quick thump prior to temps going above freezing... the front comes through quickly so there won't be a lot of time for melting. You may do really well up by the lakeshore with lake effect given the expected wind direction. We'll be frigid with mostly sunny skies here to your south. 

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32 minutes ago, NEOH said:

We should get a quick thump prior to temps going above freezing... the front comes through quickly so there won't be a lot of time for melting. You may do really well up by the lakeshore with lake effect given the expected wind direction. We'll be frigid with mostly sunny skies here to your south. 

Hopefully there's a good burst of snow over the weekend.  A few models show widespread 4-6".   Certainly will have good ratios. 

 

snku_acc.us_ne (1).png

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1 hour ago, dta1984 said:

 

Hopefully there's a good burst of snow over the weekend.  A few models show widespread 4-6".   Certainly will have good ratios. 

 

 

Yep Sunday looks interesting. Still a long way out but great to see this on all of the models. Considering how cold it will be ratio's will be excellent. Now if only we could pull of a WNW wind direction behind it. 

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8 minutes ago, NEOH said:

Yep Sunday looks interesting. Still a long way out but great to see this on all of the models. Considering how cold it will be ratio's will be excellent. Now if only we could pull of a WNW wind direction behind it. 

 It's way too far out to get into any details, and I certainly love the idea of a cold snowfall but let's wait to see dynamics before we figure out what ratios will be. Sometimes very cold snowfalls can actually have 10-1 ratios as the snow falls like cold sugar.

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14 minutes ago, WHEATCENT said:

models have  gone from a potential historic cold out break next week to another rain storm just lol 

 

 

Blocking would have to suddenly disappear for that to happen. Guessing that low would take more are southern track... but that potential storm is still out in no mans land at this point.

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56 minutes ago, WHEATCENT said:

Euro back with the extreme cold pushed back to next weekend.....

 

 

Might be able to walk across the frozen lake to Canada with those temps. Looks like a couple of inches of snow tonight with the cold front passage -- only a 3-4 hour window of warmer temps so there shouldn't be too much melting. 

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Noticed the scroll display screen in downtown Chardon has a screen for snowfall to date.  Just about 5" more than what I've measured so far.  

 

 

20210205_171047.jpg

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Just dumping LES -- cotton ball size flakes. Nice band hugging the shoreline and should remain there for most of the day. Too bad there is a lot of ice on the western basin as this is a perfect wind direction. 

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24 minutes ago, NEOH said:

Just dumping LES -- cotton ball size flakes. Nice band hugging the shoreline and should remain there for most of the day. Too bad there is a lot of ice on the western basin as this is a perfect wind direction. 

Nice surprise this morning.  Cle mentioned 290 flow, which is perfect.   Could see 2-4" being possible, looks like at least an inch down.  

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Now that's a lot of ice. Hard to believe the majority of our snow has come from synoptic events this year given how long the lake was open. 

 

 

Picture1.png

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6 minutes ago, NEOH said:

Now that's a lot of ice. Hard to believe the majority of our snow has come from synoptic events this year given how long the lake was open. 

 

 

Picture1.png

Yikes that was fast. 

Persistent on and off snow the past few days..... amounting to 3.5" since Sunday.  Hopefully a bigger storm to track this weekend.

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1 minute ago, dta1984 said:

Yikes that was fast. 

Persistent on and off snow the past few days..... amounting to 3.5" since Sunday.  Hopefully a bigger storm to track this weekend.

It took the small ice rink I built in my backyard longer to freeze than it took the western basin. Nickel and dime snows the past few days. The weekend is definitely looking  interesting. Lets get one more major snowfall and call it a winter :). 

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Looking like a 1- 4" type snowfall this weekend depending on the model. Getting concerned the potential larger storm early next week could be a miss to the SE. 

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21 minutes ago, NEOH said:

Looking like a 1- 4" type snowfall this weekend depending on the model. Getting concerned the potential larger storm early next week could be a miss to the SE. 

That's better than nothing I suppose... We've had alot of smaller snowfalls lately, itching for a bigger storm.  Maybe next week....

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