RitualOfTheTrout Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 I don't think anybody roots for what they are getting. We talk around here about getting 6 inches or a foot if we're lucky. Not 6 feet. What we got in 2010 I enjoyed. I picked up 20" from that one and got a day off of work. As a weather enthusiast, you enjoy things like that because you don't know the next time you'll see something like that. Especially in this area where we routinely miss out. Yeah I agree. I'd love to get 2-3 feet out of a storm but much more than that starts to really increase the odds of loss of life and property. I'm still hoping one year to see our area get smacked with a big storm in early January followed by a nice arctic outbreak, seems our best storms are always around the middle of Feb so the winter wonderland doesn't have a chance to stick around long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 Day 10 Euro. Looks like day 8/9 is our next chance for something to track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Hazardous Weather Outlook HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 936 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014 OHZ039>041-048>050-057-058-PAZ013-014-020>022-029-WVZ001-002-230245- TUSCARAWAS-CARROLL-COLUMBIANA-COSHOCTON-HARRISON-JEFFERSON OH- MUSKINGUM-GUERNSEY-LAWRENCE-BUTLER-BEAVER-ALLEGHENY-ARMSTRONG- WASHINGTON-HANCOCK-BROOKE- 936 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL OHIO...SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...WEST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHEAST ON SATURDAY MORNING. GENERALLY AREAS FROM ZANESVILLE TO BEAVER TO DUBOIS HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FALLING. DUE TO COLD AIR TEMPERATURES AS WELL AS COLD GROUND TEMPERATURES...THIS PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY START AS FREEZING RAIN IN SOME LOCATIONS. A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED DEPENDING UPON THE COVERAGE OF THE EVENTUAL LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. SOUTH OF THE ZANESVILLE TO BEAVER TO DUBOIS LINE...THE CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION QUICKLY GET LOWER...AND LIKELIHOOD OF ANY ICE ACCUMULATION IS MUCH LOWER. ALL PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO JUST LIGHT RAIN BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Tons of wrecks out there right now. Be careful. All the overpasses going into town are I've sheets. Saw about 10 wrecks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 And also people are still trying to drive 50-60 on ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted November 22, 2014 Share Posted November 22, 2014 Yeah, I-79 was a parking lot earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted November 23, 2014 Author Share Posted November 23, 2014 What are the chances that this storm comes further west. I have family traveling and I am hoping that they don't run into any problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 What are the chances that this storm comes further west. I have family traveling and I am hoping that they don't run into any problems. I wouldn't worry. Coastals never get far enough inland for us, while lows that run up the Ohio valley always go too west and north for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted November 23, 2014 Author Share Posted November 23, 2014 12z Euro shifted west for the Thanksgiving storm. I am not saying its correct but if anyone has people traveling this might be something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 I wouldn't worry. Coastals never get far enough inland for us, while lows that run up the Ohio valley always go too west and north for us. And between last week's storm, and this week's storm, it looks like we will see both things happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted November 23, 2014 Share Posted November 23, 2014 12z Euro shifted west for the Thanksgiving storm. I am not saying its correct but if anyone has people traveling this might be something to watch. Anyone traveling to the east will definitely have to keep an eye on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Looks like Harrisburg East will be a problem traveling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Come on West!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 Slight west move on 12z but it will take a huge jump for us to see anything note worthy. I took a look at the EUro Ensembles and some jackpot us but thats maybe 10 members out of I believe 60. Its still early and I just hope we get atleast one 6+ storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 I think this ends up another fringe job, which given the Holiday and lots of family and friends traveling its probably for the better. That being said keep an eye on the clipper, if it slows down should allow this to come further west. Slight west move on 12z but it will take a huge jump for us to see anything note worthy. I took a look at the EUro Ensembles and some jackpot us but thats maybe 10 members out of I believe 60. Its still early and I just hope we get atleast one 6+ storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 Fringe is most likely the outcome with some snow showers. Its only November so lets see what December brings. With that I am getting off snow mode for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Fringe to the left fringe to the right ..we do the hokee pokee that's what it's all about. This is good and bad. Good that it's so early and bad that we could miss out on 2 nice ones...well c. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted November 24, 2014 Share Posted November 24, 2014 Lucky dogs! URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA253 PM EST MON NOV 24 2014MDZ001-WVZ041-250400-/O.NEW.KPBZ.WS.A.0006.141126T1100Z-141126T2300Z/GARRETT-TUCKER-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OAKLAND MD...PARSONS253 PM EST MON NOV 24 2014...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGHWEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PITTSBURGH HAS ISSUED A WINTERSTORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGHWEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 INCHES OR MORE POSSIBLE.* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TOREDUCED VISIBILITY AND SNOW ACCUMULATION.* WINDS...NORTH 5 MPH.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICEACCUMULATION MAY SEVERELY IMPACT TRAVEL. PREPARE FOR WINTERWEATHER AND MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS VIA THE NATIONAL WEATHERSERVICE HOMEPAGE NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER NEWS MEDIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Is a 6z NAM run worth getting excited over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Is a 6z NAM run worth getting excited over?Don't try and suck me into this one! I gave up on this storm days ago! Lol We still get fringed although you might get something out of it. I generally don't get too excited over the NAM, especially if it's the outlier. GFS still fringes us. I don't know what the EURO showed last night. My guess is, what it's been showing. I'm not getting my hopes up on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 As of right now looks like < 1" for Pittsburgh. 1-3" into Westmoreland County and 4-8" Cambria/Somerset East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Is a 6z NAM run worth getting excited over? NAM looked like it went back east a bit, but Precip shield expanded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Gfs looks like it gives us about 1-2 inches. I'll take that as it would be perfect for thanksgiving. Hires nam puts the .25 inch line right through downtown...again, 1-3 for the county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 If this bumps just 50 miles west, we will be looking at a nice high end advisory event. Even as is I think we see a decent 1-3 with low end advisory amounts possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 Well it looks like the track may not be changed much but the precip field is expanding west. Ill take anything at this point. I just want some measurable snow for November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 Well it looks like the track may not be changed much but the precip field is expanding west. Ill take anything at this point. I just want some measurable snow for November. Yep. It isn't the track, but expanding precip field, which is typical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I would bet right now we be on the lower end of any amounts we are suppose to get. Harrisburg to just west of Philly and the Poconos are the sweet spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 I would bet right now we be on the lower end of any amounts we are suppose to get. Harrisburg to just west of Philly and the Poconos are the sweet spot. Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 Why? because there is a sharp cut off of precip right in our area. Don't get your hopes up for anything more than maybe an inch if we are lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted November 25, 2014 Share Posted November 25, 2014 because there is a sharp cut off of precip right in our area. Don't get your hopes up for anything more than maybe an inch if we are lucky. Sure. But the models have been moving in a direction that is expanding the precip field. I'll go 1-3 agc, and 2-4 in westmoreland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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