RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 GGEM south as well. Well this just about sums up this forums feelings towards these storms: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=66nSZzBNkTU I honestly hope this is the last "threat" this winter. Reshuffle the deck with a possible nino next winter and see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Well, it looks like the other models are south as well so I'm thinking this is going to be another fringe at best. Like I said before, might as well bring on spring instead of continually watch these storms fringe us or miss us. Sent from my XT897 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 R u kidding. How are u able to determine its a fridge lol. 2 days to adjust north or south .im not saying it's gonna be 2 ft of snow ,make no mistake all scenarios are still on the table ...I actually like being fringed now it always adjust .maybee south maybee north ???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted March 14, 2014 Author Share Posted March 14, 2014 R u kidding. How are u able to determine its a fridge lol. 2 days to adjust north or south .im not saying it's gonna be 2 ft of snow ,make no mistake all scenarios are still on the table ...I actually like being fringed now it always adjust .maybee south maybee north ???? its not the pv that is affecting this storm its the fact that energy is being buried and this causes the storm to be further south. As much as I went warning criteria snow, it just doesn't look good considering energy is semi-sampled now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Euro is south, too, apparently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Mailman were all renting. A limo and coming down to get on action in wv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted March 14, 2014 Author Share Posted March 14, 2014 Yesterdays thoughts This morning After the 12z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Mailman were all renting. A limo and coming down to get on action in wv I'm close enough I can walk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 R u kidding. How are u able to determine its a fridge lol. 2 days to adjust north or south .im not saying it's gonna be 2 ft of snow ,make no mistake all scenarios are still on the table ...I actually like being fringed now it always adjust .maybee south maybee north ???? First off, relax. Be nice. You can disagree with me if you want. That's perfectly fine. But, please be respectful. I've never talked to you like that on here. When everyone else was going after you about your bad grammar, I left you alone. Even though they had the right to do that because your posts can be very difficult to read sometimes. I try to stay out of the petty arguments that go on in these forums, but I don't want to be disrespected either. Anyway, that's just my opinion as it stands right now. If things somehow change again, I'll be more than happy to be wrong. I'm going by the history and pattern of this winter and the models a couple of days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 00z everything is sampled, so if we are going to get a hailmarry we should see it then..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 I'm not mad I'm happy. How do you think I'm mad ??? Excited but not mad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted March 14, 2014 Author Share Posted March 14, 2014 00z everything is sampled, so if we are going to get a hailmarry we should see it then..... Thats what I am thinking. If this doesn't come north/ stronger phased by then, I will stick a fork in this storm. Until then, We wait for the 00z models. Time to step away from forum for awhile and get something productive done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 We out to change the forum name to wv 111. Then they will get the fringe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 We out to change the forum name to wv 111. Then they will get the fringe. Following that logic, wouldn't we want to name it like Erie \ NW PA Weather? That was it gets supressed and pitt would get crushed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Attached thumbnail(s) Reduced 20% 800 x 600 (38.99K) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 North trend now. Here we go. I'm content on ignoring that run untill other models or model trend with it. But it's a small step in the right direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Erie 111 new forum name Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Another 100 miles north and we could break our record of 300 inches this year here in Erie. I think it will happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 North trend now. Here we go. I'm content on ignoring that run untill other models or model trend with it. But it's a small step in the right direction Well the NAM is south of its 12Z run , so its not starting a north trend. Though, It is the most north of all the models for this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Well... its a sad day when all your hopes and dreams rest on the 18z NAM 48hrs+. The rational and logical part of me says we see it collapse fully at 00z tonight.. but the weenie in me says but wait! the NAM was the furtherst North on the storm that just hit Buffalo and it was right. Reality though is the 18z took a step towards the globals in the handling of the energy in the SW which is not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 This looks reasonable. I'm thinking an inch or less for Pittsburgh and North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 I was outside all day. It was 65 here today. In terms of the next storm, there is still time for it to come North. We seen this before where it goes south then comes back North we are still in this. I won't give up until tomorrow night. If we are going cold, I want dumped on. But to be honest. If I had a choice after this one and today. I'm ready to be outside. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Hey folks. From what I've seen so far with this possible storm, whether it's been north or south, weak, strong etc. To my untrained eye, the upper levels have never looked good, in supporting large or even moderate accumulations. It looks like every other fast moving pos system crossing the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Well the 18z GFS looked better to start than 12z, but then the storm just sheared out, not sure whats going on there. It even closed off at 500 similar to the NAM. I guess the take from this is that at least it didn't go further South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Well the 18z GFS looked better to start than 12z, but then the storm just sheared out, not sure whats going on there. It even closed off at 500 similar to the NAM. I guess the take from this is that at least it didn't go further South. It seems like that closed H5 just gets crushed under what I'm guessing is the PV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 It seems like that closed H5 just gets crushed under what I'm guessing is the PV. Yeah, you may be right. There is also another short wave coming on sure in the PAC NW, so I wonder if that's not allowing the storm to really amplify and go negative, then add in the PV and we get the near miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted March 14, 2014 Share Posted March 14, 2014 Yeah, you may be right. There is also another short wave coming on sure in the PAC NW, so I wonder if that's not allowing the storm to really amplify and go negative, then add in the PV and we get the near miss. The fact that we're still discussing PV and supression issues in mid March, shows how dominating the northern stream was this winter. Also I see what you're saying about the Pac NW energy. It looks more robust than the energy in the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 0z will be huge this eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 15, 2014 Share Posted March 15, 2014 We have a 10% chance of 12 inches. 12" Reduced 69% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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