WIN Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I didnt lose any. No melting . I dont think i everwent to.plain rain. It was compacted overnight though. Miserable job shoveling this morning. Was nice that my kids are off for xmas break....i woke my son up to help me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Tonights model runs should be telling.. My thinking is that we are pretty much locked in at 2-3" maybe an occasional 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
denvillenj Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 sounds about right snywx looks to stay cold afterwards too....maybe we can sustain some snow cover for a few weeks this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 sounds about right snywx looks to stay cold afterwards too....maybe we can sustain some snow cover for a few weeks this year This snowpack is going no where anytime soon... Its actually a "solid" snowpack lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Still looking like a 2-4" event for most of us.. Ratios should be around 12:1 as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Looks To Be A Fine Powder. Hoping Our Friends To The SE can Pull In A Little More From The Coastal. Still looking like a 2-4" event for most of us.. Ratios should be around 12:1 as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Looks To Be A Fine Powder. Hoping Our Friends To The SE can Pull In A Little More From The Coastal. Probably won't happen... If that coastal decides to take a closer approach then mixing could become a possibly for the immediate coast. This is probably their best bet 0z RGEM is already showing it.. In fact that model run gives us a damn good snowstorm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 true... and the rgem would mean warning level snow..but seems to have been discounted by the mets Probably won't happen... If that coastal decides to take a closer approach then mixing could become a possibly for the immediate coast. This is probably their best bet 0z RGEM is already showing it.. In fact that model run gives us a damn good snowstorm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Probably won't happen... If that coastal decides to take a closer approach then mixing could become a possibly for the immediate coast. This is probably their best bet 0z RGEM is already showing it.. In fact that model run gives us a damn good snowstorm.. Just 3.3" of snow for the 2012-13 winter so far across the border at Wilkes Barre / Scranton International Airport (AVP) (elevation 930 feet). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 A couple to maybe a few inches of fluff on top of the existing snowpack is going to be nice! It's been a couple of years since we've had snow fall on top of snowpack (that's a bold statement right there... ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 don't look now, but the nam gives us more than a couple inches. this is staring to look plowable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 A couple to maybe a few inches of fluff on top of the existing snowpack is going to be nice! It's been a couple of years since we've had snow fall on top of snowpack (that's a bold statement right there... ) Is that crazy or what lol.. I would say Feb 2010 was our best month for snowfall in the last 20 yrs. Something like 50"+ that month.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 don't look now, but the nam gives us more than a couple inches. this is staring to look plowable. Temps in the Mid 20's throughout as well.. Fluff factor may give us 4-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 12z RGEM gives us a 12hr Snowstorm with significant accumulations.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Here is the 12z RGEM for your enjoyment. http://collaboration...pe_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
itsdnice Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 it's these moments that make weeks of model watching fun. heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 6z GFS precip -24 hr 12z GFS precip -24hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 6z GFS precip -24 hr 12z GFS precip -24hr The GFS shows the coastal stealing precip.. Lets hope its wrong.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
denvillenj Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 i think overall this am the trend is our friend from our area's perspective nice to see the low closer to the coast..... any idea how nam was on precip placement on last storm? i know temp wise it was horrifying..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
denvillenj Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 oh man rgem looks great by the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 oh man rgem looks great by the way Having the RGEM on our side is def a good thing. GGEM should follow as well. Lets see what the Euro does later. Considering we already have a nice snowpack up this way I have no prob. settling for a 2-4" event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
denvillenj Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 agreed snywx considering the better performance of those models last storm i'm optimistic...trying to temper my expectations here with the latest model runs, i'll take 2-4 and run like the wind.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I'm trying to decide if I should pull the plug on a wine tour tomorrow- we have a limo booked to hit wineries in Warwick, Washingtonville and Central Valley here in the OC. 1-3 inches probably isn't too bad, but if we get 2-4 or more than its probably a no go for us. Hopefully there is good consensus by later today. What do you more informed people think based on the latest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Milford Highlander Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I'm trying to decide if I should pull the plug on a wine tour tomorrow- we have a limo booked to hit wineries in Warwick, Washingtonville and Central Valley here in the OC. 1-3 inches probably isn't too bad, but if we get 2-4 or more than its probably a no go for us. Hopefully there is good consensus by later today. What do you more informed people think based on the latest? 1 more inch won't make a difference - get drunk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Lol- that's great logic- especially for an Irishman like me! I guess being stuck in a limo in a snowstorm with booze on board wouldn't be such a bad thing Highlander : ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Hell yeah.. Get tore up from the floor up! lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Looks like we aren't gonna make it above freezing.. 30.4/25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 So where are we at? If euro is correct - storm stays east, less wrapped up, and we get 2-4. If NAM, RGEM is correct, low head west, more wrapped up, sharper cut-off so we get 2-4 anyway? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 basically to my amateurish eyes it looks like we Max out at four, unless nam, rgrm and company were the beginning of a trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 2-4" is probably the way to go right now.. Someone may squeeze out 5". NAM/RGEM is more 3-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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