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Texas/New Mexico/Louisiana/Mexico Obs And Discussion Thread Part 2

Srain

By Srain,
in Central/Western States

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bubba hotep

bubba hotep

Posted
Posted

When was the last time they saw this out that way?

FLOOD ADVISORY

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX

907 AM CDT SAT AUG 13 2011

TXC451-131700-

/O.NEW.KSJT.FA.Y.0013.110813T1407Z-110813T1700Z

/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TOM GREEN TX-

907 AM CDT SAT AUG 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR

DRAINAGE AREAS IN... CENTRAL TOM GREEN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS...

THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SAN ANGELO...

* UNTIL NOON CDT * AT 905 AM CDT

AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WAS MOVING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CITY OF SAN ANGELO.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE CITY OVER THE NEXT TWO

HOURS...CAUSING FLOODING OF STREETS...POOR DRAINIAGE AREAS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...

AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS... HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED ROADS. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

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Quixotic1

Quixotic1

Posted
Posted

Rain! Much needed too.

I think the worst is over. The last week has seen us consistently fail to meet expected highs for the day and thunderstorms were popping up all around. Looking at the satellite the last few days and you had a real hard time discerning the high with all the outflows and left over clouds. While I don't think the 100+ days are over, I think the worst of it is. High seems to have weakened quite a bit. Let's hope it continues to get broken down and/or shifts west.

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bubba hotep

bubba hotep

Posted
Posted

Rain! Much needed too.

I think the worst is over. The last week has seen us consistently fail to meet expected highs for the day and thunderstorms were popping up all around. Looking at the satellite the last few days and you had a real hard time discerning the high with all the outflows and left over clouds. While I don't think the 100+ days are over, I think the worst of it is. High seems to have weakened quite a bit. Let's hope it continues to get broken down and/or shifts west.

I tend to agree with you, esp. since climo will start working in our favor over the next few weeks. However, if we get another NAO nose dive then we might get back into the miserable heat. There is also the chance that 93L brings some moisture to Texas or as Ed would say, "make our yards happy" or something like that.

We ended up with about 0.5" here out of this and maybe we can squeeze out some more over the next couple of days.

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Srain

Srain

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I'll post this here, for what it's worth, the 12Z Euro develops a disturbance along the boundary currently draped along the Northern Gulf Coast and that feature heads W bound into the Central TX Coast late next weekend. Something to watch as stalled boundaries in August along the Gulf Coast have been known to spin up a little home grown action...

post-32-0-87934800-1313349103.gif

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DoctorMu

DoctorMu

Posted
Posted

PWS ARE IN THE 2.0-2.2 RANGE with an outflow boundary. The Aggie Dome is battling the boundary with enough clouds and moisture to have CLL struggling to the 100°F mark. Yesterday, marked 24 days in a row and 41 altogether.

Scattered showers to the SE and NW and 98°F. No rain yet, but had drops 3 miles south yesterday evening. The next 3 hours should be interesting...our best shot at rain and staying under a 100°F for the next 7 days.

Our red oaks are tanking despite fertilizer and gypsum due to the drought and sodium-saturated city water.

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Srain

Srain

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:mellow:

CLIMATE
THE TEMPERATURE AT HOUSTON/IAH TOPPED OUT AT 100 DEGREES MAKING
TODAY THE 14TH CONSECUTIVE DAY OF 100-DEGREE OR HIGHER
TEMPERATURES IN HOUSTON. THIS TIES THE ALL TIME RECORD FOR
CONSECUTIVE 100-DEGREE DAYS IN HOUSTON SET IN JULY 1980. IT ALSO
TIES THE RECORD FOR THE MOST 100 DEGREE DAYS EVER RECORDED IN THE
MONTH OF AUGUST.

HOUSTON - MOST CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF 100-DEGREE OR HIGHER TEMPS:

1. 14 DAYS - ONGOING AS OF 8/14/2011
2. 14 DAYS - ENDING 7/19/1980
3. 11 DAYS - ENDING 8/05/1998
4.  9 DAYS - ENDING 7/03/1980
5.  8 DAYS - ENDING 9/05/2000...ENDING 8/21/1993...ENDING 8/14/1962

HOUSTON - MOST DAYS OF 100-DEGREE OR HIGHER TEMPS IN AUGUST:

1. 14 DAYS - 2011 (ONGOING)
2. 14 DAYS - 1993
3. 10 DAYS - 1999
4.  8 DAYS - 1998...1962...AND 1907
5.  7 DAYS - 1951 AND 1909

HOUSTON - MOST DAYS OF 100-DEGREE OR HIGHER TEMPS FOR A SEASON:

1. 32 DAYS - 1980
2. 25 DAYS - 2011 (AS OF 8/14/2011)
3. 24 DAYS - 1998
4. 20 DAYS - 2000
5. 19 DAYS - 1902

HOUSTON - MOST DAYS OF LOWS OF 80 DEGREES OR HIGHER FOR A SEASON:

1. 26 DAYS - 1962
2. 25 DAYS - 1964
3. 21 DAYS - 1963
4. 20 DAYS - 2011 (ONGOING)
5. 19 DAYS - 2009

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Ed Lizard

Ed Lizard

Posted
Posted

:mellow:

CLIMATE
THE TEMPERATURE AT HOUSTON/IAH TOPPED OUT AT 100 DEGREES MAKING
TODAY THE 14TH CONSECUTIVE DAY OF 100-DEGREE OR HIGHER
TEMPERATURES IN HOUSTON. THIS TIES THE ALL TIME RECORD FOR
CONSECUTIVE 100-DEGREE DAYS IN HOUSTON SET IN JULY 1980. IT ALSO
TIES THE RECORD FOR THE MOST 100 DEGREE DAYS EVER RECORDED IN THE
MONTH OF AUGUST.

HOUSTON - MOST CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF 100-DEGREE OR HIGHER TEMPS:

1. 14 DAYS - ONGOING AS OF 8/14/2011
2. 14 DAYS - ENDING 7/19/1980
3. 11 DAYS - ENDING 8/05/1998
4.  9 DAYS - ENDING 7/03/1980
5.  8 DAYS - ENDING 9/05/2000...ENDING 8/21/1993...ENDING 8/14/1962

HOUSTON - MOST DAYS OF 100-DEGREE OR HIGHER TEMPS IN AUGUST:

1. 14 DAYS - 2011 (ONGOING)
2. 14 DAYS - 1993
3. 10 DAYS - 1999
4.  8 DAYS - 1998...1962...AND 1907
5.  7 DAYS - 1951 AND 1909

HOUSTON - MOST DAYS OF 100-DEGREE OR HIGHER TEMPS FOR A SEASON:

1. 32 DAYS - 1980
2. 25 DAYS - 2011 (AS OF 8/14/2011)
3. 24 DAYS - 1998
4. 20 DAYS - 2000
5. 19 DAYS - 1902

HOUSTON - MOST DAYS OF LOWS OF 80 DEGREES OR HIGHER FOR A SEASON:

1. 26 DAYS - 1962
2. 25 DAYS - 1964
3. 21 DAYS - 1963
4. 20 DAYS - 2011 (ONGOING)
5. 19 DAYS - 2009

Keep the 1980 busting streak intact and get a solid 20 minute t-shower at the house. Good times.

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msp

msp

Posted
Posted

A two-fer w/ 1st measurable pcp since July 15 and the streak is alive at 25 straight

saw that today. the kbtx twitter folks were freaking out that the area might see precip. i'd like it a little less dry by the time i get there saturday.

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Srain

Srain

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PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX

502 PM CDT MON AUG 15 2011

...RECORD FOR CONSECUTIVE DAYS REACHING 100 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT SET

FOR BUSH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...

THIS AFTERNOON BUSH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...IAH...REACHED 100

DEGREES. THIS MARKS THE 15TH CONSECUTIVE DAY THAT TEMPERATURES

REACHED THE CENTURY MARK AND BREAKS THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 14 SET

ON JULY 19TH 1980.

IN ADDITION...COLLEGE STATION REACHED 100 DEGREES FOR THE 17TH

CONSECUTIVE DAY. IF IT REACHES 100 TOMORROW...IT WOULD TIE THE

RECORD FOR CONSECUTIVE 100 DEGREE DAYS SET ON AUGUST 9TH 1958.

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DoctorMu

DoctorMu

Posted
Posted

saw that today. the kbtx twitter folks were freaking out that the area might see precip. i'd like it a little less dry by the time i get there saturday.

28 straight and and 45 total of 100°F+ within the next hour. 104-105°F today and Thursday with the slightest chance of a shower. NOAA has Saturday as 103°F - and no rain.

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TXWXCHX

TXWXCHX

Posted
Posted

I'm going crazy from the heat!! How bad must have 1980 sucked!?

I was there... 1980 was so bad, I found myself saying today "well, 105 degrees in the shade? Could be worse - it could be like 1980"...:axe:

What makes this worse is the vicious drought combined with the heat. The grass is dead in the pastures and what little hay is left is $125 a round bale... and $75 per round bale for corn fodder. We are rapidly running out of forage for livestock. I have been at drought level stocking rates for a year, because we prepared for this drought, but we still had to send our last three Longhorn cows to our neighbor's last good bottomland pasture in hopes that they will find better forage there. Fortunately, our girls are nice and fat because they've been eating the leaves and pods of mesquite trees! God bless Longhorns, they can survive a drought...:wub:

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Cypress

Cypress

Posted
Posted

starting with June 4th, we've had 42 days of 100 or higher in Cypress, TX (just nw of Houston)

the worst stretch has been every single day since July 31st http://www.accuweather.com/us/tx/cypress/77429/forecast-month.asp

we are not forecast by the NWS to be below 100, for a high, through next Wed at least http://forecast.weat...21&lon=-95.6987

for comparison, Accuweather said we would reach 98 yesterday, we reached 104... but they do have historical info that's easy to access

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Srain

Srain

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Morning e-mail form Jeff:

The streak continues on as BUSH IAH has now gone 17 days at or above 100 degrees.

Massive upper ridge centered over W TX this morning will weaken a little over the next 24-38 hours allowing slightly higher moisture levels and slightly lower temperatures to be felt over SE TX, especially east of I-45. Still expecting to reach 100 or above each afternoon given how quickly the dry ground is heating up each day. At least a slight chance of rain (10-20%) will be possible along the seabreeze and E of I-45 where subsidence from the ridge will be weakest and moisture greatest. Otherwise no significant change through the middle of next week.

Middle-End of Next Week:

Some hope (maybe) in the far range as the ridge over TX will build into the Rockies early next week allowing an increasingly northerly flow to develop over the region. GFS and ECMWF forecast the formation of lower heights from eastern TX toward FL, but differ on the location and intensity of this downstream trough. Several models show a tropical system (current wave in the central Atlantic) moving W to WNW and being located somewhere in the northern Caribbean or SW Atlantic late next week. Pattern may at least be a little more favorable for a few showers after the middle of next week, while we keep an eye toward the tropics in case a few of the models showing the sub-tropical ridge building back westward into the eastern Gulf of Mexico is correct possibly allowing any tropical system to track into the Gulf.

Note: At noon on 8-16-11 the City of Houston began utilizing their water rights on Lake Conroe requesting the release of 50 billion gallons of water per day to help stabilize Lake Houston’s rapid decline. Over the next few days this release will be increased to 150 billion gallons. On average this release coupled with the current evaporation rates will result in a 5-6 inch decline in the water level on Lake Conroe each week.

Lake Somerville continues a rapid decline with a loss of 14% of its capacity in the last 3 weeks and is now below 50% of its capacity.

Lake Levels:

Lake Houston: -5.0 ft (81% capacity)

Lake Conroe: -4.05 ft (82% capacity)

Lake Texana: -9.62 ft (52% capacity)

Lake Somerville: -8.06 ft (49% capacity)

Lake Travis: -44.5 ft (43% capacity)

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