AppsRunner Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Well, the model Blizzard Bill showed gave Chicago 0" of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 Well, the model Blizzard Bill showed gave Chicago 0" of snow wanna see a real laugher? Go here if you have FB and click on photos by others and take a look at some of these guys storm calls. Have snow all the way downin southern OH and crazy crap lol... You'll see my maps, theyre about the only logical ones on there. http://www.facebook.com/MeteoMadness?forceClose=1#!/MeteoMadness?forceClose=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 wanna see a real laugher? Go here if you have FB and click on photos by others and take a look at some of these guys storm calls. Have snow all the way downin southern OH and crazy crap lol... You'll see my maps, theyre about the only logical ones on there. http://www.facebook....ss?forceClose=1 There were a couple legit ones like yours... but nothing compares to the 24-36" I saw for NYC on there Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Once the low peaks, the occlusion process will begin and the low will start to drift ene. The key is where the storm peaks. Fort Wayne sounds to far north. I think it peaks over Southern/Central Indiana. that is the huge variable. it looked to me like the 18z models took a step in the right direction. Will be interesting to see if that is a trend or blip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 lol.. Damn 850's my point forecast, as you can see the highest the temp gets according to them while the heaviest precip falls is 33 lmao :ee: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 that is the huge variable. it looked to me like the 18z models took a step in the right direction. Will be interesting to see if that is a trend or blip. Check out the diff between the 6z 72 hr nam and the 18z 60 hr nam at 5h. It almost looks like it's trying to develop a bowling ball with the front piece. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 I can not ever remember seeing a single storm that puts out this many watches.. My lord 2/3 of the US lol And our 1st WSW of this fine winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 And our 1st WSW of this fine winter! ...and for freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Check out the diff between the 6z 72 hr nam and the 18z 60 hr nam at 5h. It almost looks like it's trying to develop a bowling ball with the front piece. In laymens terms this could mean what?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 ...and for freezing rain I know. Go figure!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Check out the diff between the 6z 72 hr nam and the 18z 60 hr nam at 5h. It almost looks like it's trying to develop a bowling ball with the front piece. GFS did the same thing. Should be interesting to see if that continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 In laymens terms this could mean what?? promote more of an eastward shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 well just skimming thru the storm thread and looking at the 18z uk and regem there seems to be a growing prediction that we might actually see a nw shift on 00z vs. se shift. Either way tonites runs should pretty much tell us if the track is about locked or if there is more adjustments to go. Apparently everything will be sampled for 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 promote more of an eastward shift. I thought i was done with this..here i am..drawn in again!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 well just skimming thru the storm thread and looking at the 18z uk and regem there seems to be a growing prediction that we might actually see a nw shift on 00z vs. se shift. Either way tonites runs should pretty much tell us if the track is about locked or if there is more adjustments to go. Apparently everything will be sampled for 00z +AO/NAO and a SW flow is a major NW shift time pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 +AO/NAO and a SW flow is a major NW shift time pattern. yea, that's what i thought this past monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 yea, that's what i thought this past monday That was really more neutral and actually a -AO if you take into account the lag time. But I'm just bringing it up to be pessimistic LOL i don't have any other good reasoning for it to go NW more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 That was really more neutral and actually a -AO if you take into account the lag time. But I'm just bringing it up to be pessimistic LOL i don't have any other good reasoning for it to go NW more. yea i know...actually i think the ao was positive but the nao was heading neutral/positive. At any rate it would be very easy to believe a nw shift. But i could see both ways, especially if the full sampling yields a weaker system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 promote more of an eastward shift. SREF does the same thing... results in a track just barely SE of before. Not as much of a spread NW too... so that's encouraging. Unfortunately, it's just a worse ice storm for most of OH then before: Most encouraging thing is it does end up weaker too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Critical models runs starting to take place.... Probably the most critical of the season if not for the past few years when it comes to the potential of a major ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHSnow Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 You can see the effects of that bowling ball on the NAM... first wave looking more potent now. Could be warning criteria snow or ice from that portion of the storm alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 NAM holds CMH temps down a bit more. Up to half inch of ice from .2" or so on the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Right on the freezing line here 0.2......... with nearly .50 QPF so far.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 So far for my neck of the woods TUE 1A 01-FEB -1.4 4.2 1020 95 83 0.02 559 543 TUE 7A 01-FEB 0.2 3.9 1018 97 97 0.20 559 545 TUE 1P 01-FEB 0.2 4.2 1018 92 86 0.30 559 545 TUE 7P 01-FEB 0.2 5.2 1012 95 99 0.23 557 547 Song comes to mind right now by Johnny Cash... I walk the line and were walking that fine line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Dayton numbers so far TUE 1A 01-FEB -3.5 3.0 1021 95 86 0.03 558 542 TUE 7A 01-FEB -2.2 2.8 1019 96 98 0.30 558 543 TUE 1P 01-FEB -2.1 2.9 1019 93 86 0.28 558 543 TUE 7P 01-FEB -2.3 4.1 1014 94 100 0.13 556 544 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Still below freezing at Tuesday 7pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 well it looks further east of the 18z run to me.. Any takers on that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 ut o... my location from what I can tell stays warm enough, but cmh getting hammered with zr this run WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Nearly 2 inches of ice in Dayton now. I creeped above 32 but alot cooler than 12z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 ut o... my location from what I can tell stays warm enough, but cmh getting hammered with zr this run WOW Up to 0.4C when the huge rain hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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