Steve Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 ut o... my location from what I can tell stays warm enough, but cmh getting hammered with zr this run WOW 30 miles east of columbus..i am sure we are right on that freakin line!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 Up to 0.4C when the huge rain hits. yea, so surface temps right around freezing, and I have seen zr are 33 degrees before.. Point is, its a steady shift.. Its getting colder and colder with each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Up to 0.4C when the huge rain hits. Yeah, but tending colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 30 miles east of columbus..i am sure we are right on that freakin line!!! Newark TUE 1A 01-FEB -1.9 1.9 1022 96 81 0.03 558 541 TUE 7A 01-FEB -0.8 3.2 1019 97 99 0.14 558 543 TUE 1P 01-FEB -0.2 3.0 1020 94 91 0.29 559 543 TUE 7P 01-FEB -1.2 4.0 1016 96 93 0.02 557 544 WED 1A 02-FEB 0.7 5.4 1008 97 99 0.56 557 551 WED 7A 02-FEB 4.1 4.8 1001 100 48 0.49 546 546 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 yea, so surface temps right around freezing, and I have seen zr are 33 degrees before.. Point is, its a steady shift.. Its getting colder and colder with each run. How about SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 Pretty big difference from 12z all around. Almost has Chicago out of the Heavy axis of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Findlay gets a ridiculous storm.... 8" of snow, then .7" sleet/ice, then back to mod/heavy snow. TOL at 1.5"+ all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northernohio Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 FDY and CLE get snow-ice-snow.....most of NW holds on to all snow N of Findley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 How about SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA????? Major ice storm before changing to rain for the majority.. and youre close when the heaviest falls. TUE 7A 01-FEB -0.3 3.6 1018 96 99 0.35 558 544 TUE 1P 01-FEB -1.3 4.4 1017 93 83 0.29 558 544 TUE 7P 01-FEB -0.5 5.2 1010 94 100 0.42 556 548 WED 1A 02-FEB 1.1 6.3 1002 95 88 0.97 551 550 WED 7A 02-FEB -3.2 -5.6 1005 93 25 0.08 539 535 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITblizz Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 PIT would be greatly appreciated! If you get a chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Jeez. That's about 6-8" of snow in northern Ohio from the front end dump before the main show even arrives. Then it's ice ice baby, before a coating of snow covers that up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Can't imagine how the chicago folks will feel if this is the beginning of a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northernohio Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Yeah Trent looks like 5-10 inches of total snow and .5 of ice....ouchh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 PIT would be greatly appreciated! If you get a chance .40 of ice before changing to rain TUE 7A 01-FEB -1.8 2.3 1021 94 98 0.10 557 541 TUE 1P 01-FEB 0.0 1.7 1021 96 92 0.27 559 542 TUE 7P 01-FEB -0.3 2.5 1019 97 86 0.02 559 543 WED 1A 02-FEB -0.5 4.4 1014 96 97 0.11 557 546 WED 7A 02-FEB 1.9 5.0 1004 96 100 0.75 552 550 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 it looks like it held serve with the 18z run??? hard to tell because there was definitely some speed differences...seemed quicker. Also, a significant change was the 500 heights were significantly lower over the miss and OV from the 18z...I was really surprised it didn't yield an even further southeast solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 Jeez. That's about 6-8" of snow in northern Ohio from the front end dump before the main show even arrives. Then it's ice ice baby, before a coating of snow covers that up. looks like 5-6" of snow followed by an inch of ice. TUE 1A 01-FEB -6.9 -4.0 1025 91 86 0.02 555 536 TUE 7A 01-FEB -5.5 -2.7 1023 92 96 0.34 555 537 TUE 1P 01-FEB -3.8 -2.5 1023 90 80 0.17 556 538 TUE 7P 01-FEB -5.4 -1.9 1021 90 93 0.02 555 538 WED 1A 02-FEB -4.5 1.1 1013 92 99 0.32 553 543 WED 7A 02-FEB -2.9 1.1 1003 94 81 0.62 546 543 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
passmaster16 Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 it looks like it held serve with the 18z run??? hard to tell because there was definitely some speed differences...seemed quicker. Also, a significant change was the 500 heights were significantly lower over the miss and OV from the 18z...I was really surprised it didn't yield an even further southeast solution. Be interesting to see what the 0z GFS does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 it looks like it held serve with the 18z run??? hard to tell because there was definitely some speed differences...seemed quicker. Also, a significant change was the 500 heights were significantly lower over the miss and OV from the 18z...I was really surprised it didn't yield an even further southeast solution. So..are we back in the game yet..the talk and thread are growing!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 So..are we back in the game yet..the talk and thread are growing!! For a snowstorm? No. For a paralyzing ice storm? Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Now we wait for the GFS.... If it continues to go this way we better bunker down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 looks like 5-6" of snow followed by an inch of ice. TUE 1A 01-FEB -6.9 -4.0 1025 91 86 0.02 555 536 TUE 7A 01-FEB -5.5 -2.7 1023 92 96 0.34 555 537 TUE 1P 01-FEB -3.8 -2.5 1023 90 80 0.17 556 538 TUE 7P 01-FEB -5.4 -1.9 1021 90 93 0.02 555 538 WED 1A 02-FEB -4.5 1.1 1013 92 99 0.32 553 543 WED 7A 02-FEB -2.9 1.1 1003 94 81 0.62 546 543 Damn, that would be crippling if that's ZR here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northernohio Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 this thing has been trending ever so slightly se the last few runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 Damn, that would be crippling if that's ZR here. I'll check bufkit in a few once it updates... But that is the mos data, and that would definitely be freezing rain or sleet 1.1 850 I would imagine is sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 For a snowstorm? No. For a paralyzing ice storm? Yes. I'm trying to envision the effects of a crippling ice storm from Cleveland through Akron, Youngstown, Columbus, and Dayton. An inch of ice through all of these places would be a disaster. Can you imagine how long it would take to restore power to this region? We saw what the remnants of Hurricane Izzy did back in 2008, now imagine that worse with temps in the single digits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Buckeye needs to take one for the team and accept a ice storm with open arms lol. This is what i was talking about with the 5h map. The left is the 00z 48hr and the right is the 18z 54 hr. I highlighted the 552 dm line in red. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHSnow Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 Is the NAM all snow in Toledo? It looks like 1.5-1.75" of precip. here, so I figure if that's all snow it's over a foot even with like 8:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 I'm trying to envision the effects of a crippling ice storm from Cleveland through Akron, Youngstown, Columbus, and Dayton. An inch of ice through all of these places would be a disaster. Can you imagine how long it would take to restore power to this region? We saw what the remnants of Hurricane Izzy did back in 2008, now imagine that worse with temps in the single digits. It would be a spectical. I would imagine portions of OH would be declared as national emergency and disaster areas.. IN looks much worse though... Im to the point of wanting to be involved in this potentially historic storm, even if it means taking the ice portion of it. Rain is rain.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 it looks like it held serve with the 18z run??? hard to tell because there was definitely some speed differences...seemed quicker. Also, a significant change was the 500 heights were significantly lower over the miss and OV from the 18z...I was really surprised it didn't yield an even further southeast solution. Did shift SE...Track of Cincinnati. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 Is the NAM all snow in Toledo? It looks like 1.5-1.75" of precip. here, so I figure if that's all snow it's over a foot even with like 8:1 ratios. yes. about 20" of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 31, 2011 Share Posted January 31, 2011 It would be a spectical. I would imagine portions of OH would be declared as national emergency and disaster areas.. IN looks much worse though... Im to the point of wanting to be involved in this potentially historic storm, even if it means taking the ice portion of it. Rain is rain.. Dilly did it get colder/worse for central ohio then 18z??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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