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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    CMC is actually more amped than 00z lmao. blizzard verbatim
  2. brooklynwx99
    i’ve noticed that the AIFS can be just as wrong as other models but its shifts are just less violent for example, it can still move 100-200 miles in a few days, it’ll just do it in small, consistent increments rather than two big jumps
  3. brooklynwx99
    probably some of both, mostly some too far east. however, that is an extremely aggressive mean at this range
  4. brooklynwx99
    EPS with a 6-8” mean for NYC
  5. brooklynwx99
    the ensemble support and general pattern favorability is what makes this so exciting IMO
  6. brooklynwx99
    EPS is even better than 12z
  7. brooklynwx99
    EPS is insane. better than 12z
  8. brooklynwx99
    EPS is sick. actually better than 12z
  9. brooklynwx99
    slight amplification trend on the GEPS, lol
  10. brooklynwx99
    bit of a trend, no? EPS is looking great, btw
  11. brooklynwx99
    all four models have a hit. wasn’t expecting that
  12. brooklynwx99
    can’t believe we went four for four tonight
  13. brooklynwx99
  14. brooklynwx99
    yeah, CMC is phasing
  15. brooklynwx99
    CMC is going to phase too
  16. brooklynwx99
    yeah, much more like foreign guidance
  17. brooklynwx99
    massive change on the GFS
  18. brooklynwx99
    massive change on the GFS
  19. brooklynwx99
    just a massive change on the GFS
  20. brooklynwx99
    lol you’d think this was an awful winter for the area. let’s ignore the EPS, 12z OP ECMWF, GEPS, UKMET because of the GFS and AIFS
  21. brooklynwx99
    it’s been flopping around for days. not any better than any other piece of guidance
  22. brooklynwx99
    that isn't progressive. PNA is stronger and there is a strong closed low over MN. the low will pivot and bring PVA up
  23. brooklynwx99
    ECMWF looks just like the 12z EPS. nice to see
  24. brooklynwx99
    if this was the other way around with the GFS/GEFS only showing something and everything else relatively unenthused, the GFS would be launched to Pluto
  25. brooklynwx99
    that kicker actually helps pump the PNA for a brief time as the trough amps. pretty common before it flattens things, but if the spark is already lit it doesn't matter
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