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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    850s are sooooo close, but surface temps are shot. That said, UKIE thermals are lol. Cville is placed into an isolated freezer with the 6" of snow it gets this run
  2. NorthArlington101
    Been some hints of an MLK storm. Minus the next Tuesday deal (trip to the mountains?) that period is what interests me most
  3. NorthArlington101
    I take back what I said about the GEFS. Mean initially looked better, but checking out the median reveals an outlier or two is tossing things up. Overall - GEFS throws out a weaker system. Looking at the ens is nearing (if not hit) it's expiration date anyway, but the >1" probs aren't exactly thrilling
  4. NorthArlington101
    CMC would be fantastic for the favored zones and would accumulate even where it's warm on the surface if it's dumping but it's a bad run for I-95 imo. Temps at height of the storm
  5. NorthArlington101
    2.4 at DCA and 10.9 at BWI would be a disaster.
  6. NorthArlington101
    But soundings and QPF are harder to understand /s If you are in I'm in. We tend to perform similarly. I already know I'm not gonna be in D.C. for this one - question is if I hang in A-Town or if it's worth it to flee to HBurg or Staunton.
  7. NorthArlington101
    WxBell maps are friendlier so I'm gonna assume they've made the right call. I'll post when it wraps.
  8. NorthArlington101
    Personally, I see some room for improvement
  9. NorthArlington101
    Thanks! Not concerned - just saying. We'll talk about it for pages when it's good, though.
  10. NorthArlington101
    ICON is a step back at 12z.
  11. NorthArlington101
    Nasty gradient... 10" in NW Arlington, 3" in SE. It's also still ripping at this point in DC.
  12. NorthArlington101
    and FWIW - just because I think it's interesting to track how the newer-tech (not necessarily better, at all) models do - the SPIRE has held a 6-8"+ storm (kinda like the 00z GFS/CMC) sicne 00z yesterday. It only runs 2x a day.
  13. NorthArlington101
    if we're being technical that was it's high-res counterpart the HRDPS - but yeah, RGEM isn't a known winner either. I know we've already shared the EPS mean -- below is the median. Wanted to make sure there weren't crazy outliers propping up the mean. Still looks solid enough.
  14. NorthArlington101
    Yeah it looks like 12z unfortunately. The slightest bit better in the cities. Best improvement is for NE MD.
  15. NorthArlington101
    MSLP off NC/SC border at 90
  16. NorthArlington101
    at 88 seems extraordinarily unlikely this would cut. Track should be pretty sweet
  17. NorthArlington101
    better HP look on 00z thru 78
  18. NorthArlington101
    Lot of variety. Very unsettled.
  19. NorthArlington101
    GEFS - less heavy for the western folks, but massive cushion.
  20. NorthArlington101
    I’ve done that twice now this week - apologies for the haste. And excitement
  21. NorthArlington101
    Little early
  22. NorthArlington101
    We’re so back
  23. NorthArlington101
  24. NorthArlington101
  25. NorthArlington101
    on a scale of 1-10 how worried are we about suppression?
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