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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    It’s almost for sure wrong. When looking in 7 day chunks we go into consistent negative departures from days 21-28 on but it’s not enough to drop us to -10, especially given the other 21 days are all positive anomalies.
  2. NorthArlington101
  3. NorthArlington101
    The control is Feb '10. It's actually better, like 4 warning events in a row with a SECS and a MECS.
  4. NorthArlington101
    Idk, GEFS is fairly active starting Day 9. Lots of mixed-bag events and definitely some rain, but it looks workable.
  5. NorthArlington101
    I just really want something to track. Tracking is what keeps me going, to an extent I don't care about the final product. I'll be disappointed but will quickly move on as soon as the next opportunity presents itself.
  6. NorthArlington101
    Could root for a trace free “winter” but I’m pretty sure between the early November storm and the early December storm most of us have seen something... not to diminish the disappointment of this winter so far. Can’t believe I punked myself into raising my guesses in the contest twice, haha.
  7. NorthArlington101
    I’ll call you at Day 6 with e2.
  8. NorthArlington101
    lol I hadn’t seen that map. it looks familiar...
  9. NorthArlington101
    bump
  10. NorthArlington101
    We beat the rainiest calendar year, but now we might as well go for the rainiest 365 days in a row possible. Record-breaking winter!
  11. NorthArlington101
    Don’t get me wrong, I know it won’t happen. And they fully deserve it. Lost easy games (the Raiders, c’mon) and then had to rely on the Browns... dumb.
  12. NorthArlington101
    Tragic. But having to rely on the Browns isn’t how I’d want the Steelers to win anyways. Technically the Steelers aren’t out though. Colts-Titans could tie.
  13. NorthArlington101
    GFS is kind of (meh, maybe not) close. As others have said, wild run-to-run swings. Flipping between the last couple runs at 102... geez.
  14. NorthArlington101
    EPS not particularly promising for the next 10 days. The 3rd-4th is the only threat window and the mean doesn’t get past .1” for DC. Yikes.
  15. NorthArlington101
    EURO isn't going to do it for the 3rd/4th threat, and the GEFS were less than inspiring.
  16. NorthArlington101
    Meh, rain to snow. Virtual snow beggars can’t be virtual snow choosers I suppose.
  17. NorthArlington101
    Canadian looks like a step back from 00z, but without the p-type maps I’m not 100% sure it doesn’t at least snow on us still.
  18. NorthArlington101
    2/20 GEFS members get us snow on the 3rd/4th... There are two other ones with very close brushes S/E with little snowfall and one other one slides south and hits the areas that did well last storm. Rest not worth mentioning.
  19. NorthArlington101
    Hey, 12z EPS isn’t bad at all for the Jan 3rd-4th threat. More then I expected to see at least. Better then 00z.
  20. NorthArlington101
    Yeah, the ICON as it was showed on TTT was weird. Was assuming it was doing some mixing, but it doesn’t show mixing on TTT. It was an odd, seemingly highly rate-dependent evolution.
  21. NorthArlington101
    The 12z ICON was an interesting run, lol. That’d be a new way to fail.
  22. NorthArlington101
    Really? I know if this ended up being the final result you’d cancel winter. All jokes aside I’m liking the fact that the period looks more interesting. Coincides with the ensembles looking nicer too. I’d really love to see some snow in Arlington rather than Charlottesville!
  23. NorthArlington101
    I know the GEFS tend to follow the OP, but man did they step down on the pre-NYD threat. Lost a lot of virtual snow between 06z and 18z.
  24. NorthArlington101
    There is a Duck Donuts in Arlington a few blocks from my house. Maple bacon = amazing.
  25. NorthArlington101
    meh, DC doesn’t even get below 32. White rain.
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