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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. wow, this run really upped the ante. gonna be 2”+ more than the previous based on 10:1
  2. EURO colder and a bit wetter thru hr38 - snowing at a solid clip in DC widespread 1”+/hr at 39
  3. It’s below freezing in DC by hr39 too so a lot of it should stick just fine, especially with the rates - liking the runs tonight.
  4. I’d need someone smarter to look under the hood but that is what it shows the p-type as, yet it also has accumulating snow. I’m assuming it’s doing a bad job of showing the transition - could use those 1hr EURO maps.
  5. GFS is a nice positive shift. Snow depth maps are a widespread 2-3”.
  6. FV3 Hi-Res looks like a really fun Saturday. Hoping it signals a nice GFS run in an hour.
  7. The 3k NAM does hate this event though, haha. Would still be a nice wintry day in mid-March but that's a low-end outcome.
  8. It's a step in the right direction -- less sleet for you, more snow. The way it shows the sleet is pretty funny, lol. The 10:1 map looks great for you in particular, surprised so little translates to snow depth.
  9. Pick whichever kind of snow map speaks to you the most -- all are generally an improvement -- can't say it is for everyone, but mostly.
  10. 18z EURO has the system a lot more put together. Looking like it should be a wetter run.
  11. WPC is certainly a little bullish - has the 50% for >2” running just NW of the NW DC border. Don’t know if they consider snow depth, but I like to see it regardless.
  12. The WxBell maps showed 2”+ of sleet out around Warrenton. But yes, not a great run overall as far as snow is concerned.
  13. On mobile so image sharing sucks but 12z EPS is clearly drier as well - looks about the same otherwise, extends push of accumulating snow maybe a bit further south.
  14. EURO looks like it’ll hold. Almost looks like the seasonal SE MD/CVA jackpot might show this run too.
  15. Unrelated -- FV3 Hi-Res showing that nice squall signature on the back.
  16. I'm wondering if it's doing that thing @high risk(I believe) mentioned where conditions *might* briefly support sleet for like 5 minutes as it transitions to snow but then the model output renders it sleeting for the whole 3hr period or so.
  17. So... exactly what I said? I'm happy to take the tradeoff of Winchester losing 3" of snow if it means the rest of us see more, but I totally understand why you wouldn't be.
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