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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    snow depth again? smh. Making a meh run look worse than it needs to. 3k is slower to transition to snow than the RAP/HRRR/12k. It's a rates problem. Who knows which of the hi-res models will nail the banding. We'll find out in 12 hours also, fwiw, 3k was probably an improvement from 18z. But both meh.
  2. NorthArlington101
    whatever. There probably isn't much after hr15
  3. NorthArlington101
    I'm letting it roll but Kuchera is 2"+ for the cities
  4. NorthArlington101
    NAM is fine. We're OK. I only speak for the cities. MD/PA border may have lost some of the sexiest bands
  5. NorthArlington101
    00z RAP is back to spitting out 8” of snow with the new data lol. We’re so back. NAMs are gonna smack us.
  6. NorthArlington101
    I was 1000% sure the extra data would make things worse. Very pleasant surprise. If DCA gets 1” out of this we’re a snow town. IDGAF what’s going on in the LR thread
  7. NorthArlington101
    Can I call dibs on the early March window? I really like the 4th-7th. Mostly based off vibes.
  8. NorthArlington101
    It’s just the HRRR making us all share. Area wide 2”+ among friends would boost morale.
  9. NorthArlington101
  10. NorthArlington101
    I like this 00z HRRR run with the dropsondes in. It’s no worse for the cities. Maybe slightly quicker
  11. NorthArlington101
    I’ve lost 5” of snow on the RAP in 2 hours. Uh oh
  12. NorthArlington101
    18z EURO pretty stellar for our northerner friends. Send pics tomorrow!
  13. NorthArlington101
    Snow depth isn’t fair - but it was a worse run for DC.
  14. NorthArlington101
    00z will be telling https://x.com/kathrynprociv/status/1757185042898465150?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg
  15. NorthArlington101
    It did fine in our January storms… I feel like Chuck shared it at range a few times and it actually performed well. But apples to oranges probably
  16. NorthArlington101
    When the RAP pulls the ripcord it’s gonna be brutal because each run I believe 1% more
  17. NorthArlington101
    Latest HRRRR
  18. NorthArlington101
    Thanks! Best of luck… hope you are right.
  19. NorthArlington101
    HRRR is gonna work for anyone DC-north again. I’d give up my Super Bowl gambling winnings for another 50 miles south though
  20. NorthArlington101
    I’ll ask what I always ask… what’s your forecast given what you are seeing?
  21. NorthArlington101
    Yes because that guarantees a south trend all the way down to Central VA
  22. NorthArlington101
    sorry to kill the excitement but Pivotal's maps are bad. Still... reasonably good north of the Beltway
  23. NorthArlington101
    I'm waiting for the wxbell map. Pivotal has been far too brutal
  24. NorthArlington101
    weenie mode... but HRRR was a cave to the RAP's depiction. Much heavier precip once we flip to snow. Just saying it how it showed... no comment on likelihood
  25. NorthArlington101
    HRRR smokes us. Best run yet. @Weather Willthe changeover difference was maybe 15 minutes, tbh
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