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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Good news -- this falls over the course of 3 days. Bad news -- this falls over the course of 3 days.
  2. NorthArlington101
    CMC and it’s ens are also intriguing Sun/Mon for western zones especially. As someone who enjoys the medium/short range stuff even when it’s a long shot, it’s been a decent tracking night… need something new now that Friday night continues to evaporate
  3. NorthArlington101
    Been noticing the ensembles tick up a few tenths (weak, I know) during that period — thanks for sharing.
  4. NorthArlington101
    GFS trended back toward the event existing. Snow TV for some MD folks at least. Hi-Res stuff still says *poof*.
  5. NorthArlington101
    EURO vs. everyone else for Fri/Sat. Best run in several cycles — too bad everything else is drying the system up.
  6. NorthArlington101
    No “storm” is also an option lol — 00z NAM says what system
  7. NorthArlington101
    GFS is incrementally better… baby steps. Maybe also worth noting the 18z NAM at 84 (I know) is running a general 3-4 degrees C colder than the GFS at the same time. Not sure the NAM would’ve gone anywhere super interesting regardless but there is room for a widening of the snow TV range. RGEM is even colder.
  8. NorthArlington101
    Encouraging to see the “event” live after an off run or two and while the other models trend a bit colder. Still got 4 days to will something a little more interesting to happen.
  9. NorthArlington101
    Super quick Fri/Sat check-in… the GFS and it’s ensembles are getting colder, but at the moment the GFS/EURO are looking they meet in the middle to make a chillier rain. Lame.
  10. NorthArlington101
    For the 2 people interested, the GEPS turned on the toaster. I’m not even interested enough to wait for the EURO unless I’m accidentally awake in an hour.
  11. NorthArlington101
    Doesn’t amount to much, but the GEFS is on its way towards caving to the EPS, at least off this run. The mean shaves 2-3 degrees Celsius off everyone’s temps as the precip comes through Friday evening. Results aren’t that spectacular, but it’s a start if you are hunting for something, especially in favored spots north.
  12. NorthArlington101
    This is beginning to get closer than the medium range, but the 18z EPS held decently firm on the Friday-Saturday timeframe. Some decent members in there, especially for first flakes. That said, a *deeper* look doesn’t show great news at the surface and the overall axis shifted a jog north, but I’ll enjoy “tracking” something that’s just a couple days away. [emoji6]
  13. NorthArlington101
    EURO still has the Friday night/Saturday event FWIW. Not as nice of a hit as last night, but a (verbatim) T-2 with 3” in the favored NMD spots.
  14. NorthArlington101
    The folks I follow aren’t fans. Haven’t bothered to check his credentials myself. Assume he has to know a little bit about what he’s talking about, though that hardly means he’s a good actor.
  15. NorthArlington101
  16. NorthArlington101
    00z GFS has the 9th-10th storm - pretty solid hit especially for the central parts of the area.
  17. NorthArlington101
    Went back and tweaked my first guess (upward), FYI. Best of luck to everyone!
  18. NorthArlington101
    I’ll be that guy too - first ever work trip is on the 8th/9th, so sorta rooting against our first window here. Good thing it’s always the storm-after-the-storm that pulls through.
  19. NorthArlington101
    Super late reply -- I'm not Jacob, though Jacob is great! Most recent article I did was the Ryan Hall one, for those who want to stalk me. Less time to write now that I'm employed elsewhere.
  20. NorthArlington101
    The 12z GFS made a *slight* shift towards a stormier outcome for Black Friday, lol.
  21. NorthArlington101
    It’s sad seeing a stretch of snow squall warnings to the north and west and knowing they aren’t gonna make it, haha.
  22. NorthArlington101
    Seeing an mPING snow report near Columbia, any reports from in the stuff up a bit more north? Assuming it has to be wintry precip of some kind.
  23. NorthArlington101
    Gotta love the 00z GFS spitting out a Cat 4/5 hurricane in the Caribbean within the first week of December. Probably more likely than seeing 1” of snow at DCA by Dec. 5.
  24. NorthArlington101
    Kind of a snow game on TV? Nice flurries at least.
  25. NorthArlington101
    Great memory you've got there! I'll never quite forgive myself for that one... needed to have my own car freshman year so I could've pivoted back down to Cville.
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