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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    the WxBell kuchera, fwiw. Little worse than 12z - just less of a thump.
  2. NorthArlington101
    just need a couple degrees at 850 to make the 3k NAM run more fun for everyone... it must at least theoretically be possible.
  3. NorthArlington101
    temps marginal and precip isn't super light... color me a bit skeptical as someone who lived in cville for 4 years and saw sig ice once despite it being modeled probably 3-4x a year. Now on the Blue Ridge itself... yeah. This seems like the kind of storm that closes the Parkway for 3 weeks... especially when you factor in a follow up next tues
  4. NorthArlington101
    NE MD pummeled
  5. NorthArlington101
    hmmm... sure it'll be refined but I'd consider a light chase if 5"+ ends up being the forecast. just in case... you know... it never snows again.
  6. NorthArlington101
  7. NorthArlington101
  8. NorthArlington101
  9. NorthArlington101
    yeah 3k is cautiously optimistic for a few hours of snow. And frankly, it's on the razor's edge for the hours afterwards. rates would do a lot -- plus a rare positive trend. We've still got ~2 days to cut temps by 1-3 degrees.
  10. NorthArlington101
    Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Habor?
  11. NorthArlington101
    The one thing I noticed were warmer 850s… not by much but every tick in the wrong direction makes it harder to go back in the right direction.
  12. NorthArlington101
    Snows for 15 minutes rather than 0?
  13. NorthArlington101
    I think most people are very frightened by a touch warmer at this juncture to be honest
  14. NorthArlington101
    I've looked at that exact 389k listing on Zillow before. Tempting...
  15. NorthArlington101
    RGEM holds for I-81 and other favored spots but the RA/SN line jumped NW
  16. NorthArlington101
    it improved from 12z for MBY
  17. NorthArlington101
  18. NorthArlington101
    me to the I-81 crew after seeing the 18z NAM
  19. NorthArlington101
    it's pathetic... it's almost beautiful. I-95 jackpot though and "colder"
  20. NorthArlington101
    18z NAM actually is better lol. Looks a bit colder - might be picking up on at least some light WAA snows as the system moves in too. Falls apart really fast. Mountains will hate it. But likely better for DC. "South and very weak" scenario.
  21. NorthArlington101
    It’s always the storm after the storm… after the storm. I’m more interested in MLK Day. Tuesday has no shot in the metro. Hope I’m wrong but don’t see it going well. Bet @clskinsfan will be fretting and end up with 5” anyway tho
  22. NorthArlington101
    Here we go again
  23. NorthArlington101
    i think it's one of those things where it's better now than it used to be - but there are better sampling capabilities on land for sure. If that kind of thing didn't matter for forecasting still you wouldn't have RAOB balloon launches or anything, I'd imagine
  24. NorthArlington101
    It's over
  25. NorthArlington101
    also, fwiw, the 10th percentile on the EPS. you'd like to think this is the (10:1) floor w/ where things stand... but you never know.
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