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Everything posted by Boston Bulldog
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Yeah sure GFS blew at 0z. You never see a coastal bomb show up every single run for days on end. Synoptic errors are so huge at this juncture, but at least there is persistence surrounding a *threat*. The signal continues to grow stronger. Even 0z keeps all the necessary pieces on the playing field, that’s all I need right now
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Classic upslope blower pow! Really impressive stuff out of Mount Mansfield. It wasn’t nearly as deep farther south at MRG, but still some great (albeit thin cover) powder in the upper elevations. Frozen mud on the pole tips means low tide! Not sure if the natural snow at Sugarbush would’ve held up on most trails for a busy weekend crowd.
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December 2024 - Best look to an early December pattern in many a year!
Boston Bulldog replied to FXWX's topic in New England
Absolutely firing at MRG right now. 6+ easily up high overnight and still dumping. -
This little impulse has scaled up slowly in recent days. The MRV area is really lighting up right now, perhaps a little consolation after missing out on last night’s bonanza north of I-89
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Upslope starting to blossom over the spine again. What a stretch!
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Yep Margavage. His “white thanksgiving” model was laughable. Ripped the accuweather product verbatim and modified the colorbar labels.
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Highly recommend just ignoring the CFS when forecasting storms. In addition to its resolution issues with synoptic events, there is one notorious “met” who uses it frequently on Twitter. Betting against his constant “cold and snow” calls would be more profitable than betting against Jim Cramer’s stock picks
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With this incoming storm likely to drop 8-12" (and potentially more), it looks like woods skiing will be game on for northern VT on the first weekend of December. Very quietly the NNE mountain snowpack has gotten off to a great early start (what happened mid-december last year was criminal). Jay looks ready to drop ropes on everything, insane stuff up there. I keep thinking back to the sleeper powder day along the spine in late November last year, keep an eye out on this Friday.
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Looks like a Champlain enhanced snowband has been hitting the App gap and Camels Hump area pretty hard this evening. Sneaky little disturbance tonight ahead of the main clipper has been enhancing upslope production. These unstable upper level arctic troughs sometimes don't deliver down south, but the mountains will always find ways to cash in.
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Turkey Day Birch Bender Snow Storm/Observation Thread 11/28/-11/29
Boston Bulldog replied to dryslot's topic in New England
The ML reacharound seems to be going poof over SVT. While dynamics are waning overhead, I suspect some of this is due to distance from the radar beam. I think we have a bit more juice before things end. Eyeballing 7-8” in Sunapee, power flickering constantly over the past few hours. Impressive November event at 1100’ -
Turkey Day Birch Bender Snow Storm/Observation Thread 11/28/-11/29
Boston Bulldog replied to dryslot's topic in New England
Yep, big slug of moisture gearing up near Albany. Probably another 2-4” if that holds together -
Turkey Day Birch Bender Snow Storm/Observation Thread 11/28/-11/29
Boston Bulldog replied to dryslot's topic in New England
Yep, expecting it to take on a SW to NE alignment as H7 low matures. Anywhere SE of where it sets up may have some subsidence issues and a more showery radar. The swath of posters we have from Sullivan through Merrimack counties are going to have a close shave -
Turkey Day Birch Bender Snow Storm/Observation Thread 11/28/-11/29
Boston Bulldog replied to dryslot's topic in New England
700mb fronto band starting to take shape. Looking at radar now, it might be curling a bit SW through Vermont back towards the capital region. -
Turkey Day Birch Bender Snow Storm/Observation Thread 11/28/-11/29
Boston Bulldog replied to dryslot's topic in New England
Similar conditions to your west, radar looks great with additional banding pivoting in from the south. Probably around 3” here -
Turkey Day Birch Bender Snow Storm/Observation Thread 11/28/-11/29
Boston Bulldog replied to dryslot's topic in New England
Yep, 32.0 here and seems to be accumulating relatively unimpeded. Closely watching that band lifting north from Keene -
Turkey Day Birch Bender Snow Storm/Observation Thread 11/28/-11/29
Boston Bulldog replied to dryslot's topic in New England
3k NAM has some convective issues with the slp shunting a bit south. Tossed -
Turkey Day Birch Bender Snow Storm/Observation Thread 11/28/-11/29
Boston Bulldog replied to dryslot's topic in New England
Fake cold indeed. 36.7 farther north in Sunapee -
Turkey Day Birch Bender Snow Storm/Observation Thread 11/28/-11/29
Boston Bulldog replied to dryslot's topic in New England
Will be spending the duration of this storm at 1100’ near Sunapee NH, we could rip pretty good here. -
December 2024 - Best look to an early December pattern in many a year!
Boston Bulldog replied to FXWX's topic in New England
Loving the contrast between “let’s focus on the next two weeks” and “this pattern might remain through next winter” on back to back posts. -
Rafael is rapidly unraveling. The only November major hurricane in the Gulf (besides Kate). One for the record books
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Impressive performance by Rafael this evening. Major at 10pm EST I bet. This must be the most menacing looking storm in terms of location to not even have a single TS watch or warning issued. No intermediate advisories either!
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Blowvember - and not named for wind potential
Boston Bulldog replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
I am interested to know why this may be a mirage, tropical forcings perhaps? At first glance the high-latitude dynamics seem like they would be sufficient to temporarily tighten up the lambda on the continental rossby waveguide -
Blowvember - and not named for wind potential
Boston Bulldog replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
A bit of a trend emerging over the last day for mid-month on the GEFS. The EPS has shown this trough anomaly on the eastern half of the country for a little while as well. Refreshing to see long range changes, if still very far out. This potential break in the ridge will likely transient in nature as this feature propogates quickly across the CONUS. -
Blowvember - and not named for wind potential
Boston Bulldog replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
Seen this hurricane season take a few times, the NOAA forecast has verified across named storms, total hurricanes and major hurricanes.