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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    Welp, flight held on the tarmac. Philly storms too intense.
  2. WxWatcher007
    Flying out of DCA over a deepening low with lightning tonight? Let’s see how this goes.
  3. WxWatcher007
    True, but what’ll happen when his yard is destroyed and dews collapse into weeks of desert dryness?
  4. WxWatcher007
    GFS with its usual genesis bias but the overall signal for a window remains.
  5. WxWatcher007
    Also—we pray for GFS with June tropical but it’s just eye candy
  6. WxWatcher007
    My God. Kev would have a field day with that until they swarmed his AC vents.
  7. WxWatcher007
    All but one flight delayed or canceled here at DCA
  8. WxWatcher007
    Couplet east of Fort Washington looks legit. Wind signal near Laurel looks nasty.
  9. WxWatcher007
    Six active tornado warnings in the region
  10. WxWatcher007
    Rain wrapped here at DCA. Good time to be here though lol https://imgur.com/a/QBZ5LUL
  11. WxWatcher007
    In DC with a tor to my north and tor to my south lol
  12. WxWatcher007
  13. WxWatcher007
    Maybe, but in fairness people evacuate (or not) based on complex factors and circumstances.
  14. WxWatcher007
    We pray for torches and drool worthy severe
  15. WxWatcher007
    There’s a modest ensemble consensus for a window opening.
  16. WxWatcher007
    Yeah there is modest cross guidance support. Long way out, but the repeated troughing we’ve seen this season suggests to me that any moisture drawn out of the Caribbean could find its way up the coast eventually.
  17. WxWatcher007
    Totally agree. Hadn’t watched the Atlantic wave but a well timed CCKW and MJO should open our window in the first week or two of June.
  18. WxWatcher007
    It looks like our first real window is starting to show up on guidance in the first or second week of June. Climatologically favored areas in the western Caribbean or Gulf.
  19. WxWatcher007
    That was a great summer
  20. WxWatcher007
    Out on the town and it seems like the customers from the shirt sales back in the day are still pleased.
  21. WxWatcher007
    It’s my first time out here, and I’m impressed by this desert sun lol. Really wish I could’ve gotten out to Death Valley but just didn’t have enough time.
  22. WxWatcher007
    Pretty impressive stuff. And better now than Saturday-Monday.
  23. WxWatcher007
    Wife caused us to miss our flight so I’m out here for another day lol
  24. WxWatcher007
    I could live with half the size. To me there’s not much to be gleaned with specificity with any preseason range, other than the broad BN, N, AN, H(yperactive) categories. Maybe it furthers the science, but I think dead on numbers are of limited utility. More useful for H and MH numbers though given baseline warmth in the Atlantic. The real “game” is when a storm like Milton is churning. The forecasting gains there have been extraordinary.
  25. WxWatcher007
    My wife may feel some type of way about that
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