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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    August is here, which means we’re just a few weeks away from the start of the climatological peak. A lot of talk around the MJO happens, and as we look at a potentially favorable window near mid-month, it might be helpful to have a primer on MJO.
  2. WxWatcher007
    I've been making a point to sleep (though work has been getting in the way) because I know it's impossible for me to get more than a few hours when a threat is on the table. Hopefully I can get in at least one more chase this season. There's a good signal for late August to be active, which doesn't always happen. I'm expecting the peak to be well above average but just shy of hyperactive. IMO the SST profile in the MDR is the reason why. That said, the basin is heating up.
  3. WxWatcher007
    Definitely a little signal for TC genesis during the first ten days of the month but I wouldn’t worry about steering right now.
  4. WxWatcher007
  5. WxWatcher007
    A 384hr op image is nonsense, but the signal for some TC genesis in the MDR is legitimately there on the ensemble guidance.
  6. WxWatcher007
    I don’t think hyperactive happens due to the SST and OHC profile in the MDR, but above average looks as close to a lock as you can get.
  7. WxWatcher007
    The photo is edited to remove some of the noise and contrast issues, but yeah, the Milky Way was clearly visible across the sky once the eyes adjusted to the darkness.
  8. WxWatcher007
    Last night’s wx was perfect too. I was able to head down to RI to do some stargazing. First time capturing images like this. The whole summer has sucked for doing anything like this so I’m glad I could make one night work.
  9. WxWatcher007
    The weather was perfect up here last night so I finally got a chance to go to a dark sky location and capture this. Jupiter also makes an appearance as the brightest “star” in the image.
  10. WxWatcher007
    Great way to end July.
  11. WxWatcher007
    94/77 at CHS. First excessive heat warning there since 2012.
  12. WxWatcher007
    I haven’t been around much. How have you been? Ready for tropical?
  13. WxWatcher007
    Considering I literally can’t sleep more than a few hours a night when the basin is hot, I’m trying to rest up as much as possible. Work does not help.
  14. WxWatcher007
    Umm @MillvilleWx
  15. WxWatcher007
    Haven’t looked in a while, but peak season is right around the corner. Get your sleep now.
  16. WxWatcher007
    This is the content I stick around for.
  17. WxWatcher007
    Nuts
  18. WxWatcher007
    This is pretty extraordinary. First time I can recall smelling smoke and seeing visibility this low. Normal day on top, today on bottom.
  19. WxWatcher007
  20. WxWatcher007
    Might be worth watching something develop off the SE Coast as that front decays. 20% odds from the NHC this morning.
  21. WxWatcher007
    Barely visible Hartford skyline today Sunset
  22. WxWatcher007
  23. WxWatcher007
    He’s just throwing chum in the waters lol
  24. WxWatcher007
    Agree. You can see it on some of the seasonal guidance with a maritime Canada ridge. Classic landfall pattern for the US, specifically the east coast. Remains to be seen if that happens though. Steering pattern predictions are especially unskilled at this range.
  25. WxWatcher007
    Get ready.
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